Leon Auriol Open

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUHAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
2 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 99% 91% 60% 20% 2%
3 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 25%
3 MA Yanjie 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
5 ST.CLAIRE-KING Tenzin 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
6 PARKEY Jack O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 52%
7 AUTREY Adrien 100% 100% 95% 64% 16% 1%
8 SULLIVAN Gerard 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
9 LIAO Yifong 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 3%
10 VALENTINE Rhys 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
11 DOLEV Ido 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
12 KULKARNI Shreyas 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
13 ZHANG Lucas 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1%
14 ENGLE Aidric 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20% 1%
15 SMITH Etienne 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
16 LOPER Alex 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
17 CHEN Jack 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 33%
18 MOULTON Andrew 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
19 GOGNA Rehan 100% 92% 57% 16% 2% -
20 VACCA Giovanni 100% 96% 70% 30% 7% 1%
21 HOLMES Xavier 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
22 LOWE Devon 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
23 CALL Henderson 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11% -
24 PENG Gregory 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
25 NEARMAN Christopher 100% 100% 91% 63% 25% 4%
26 MCCLURE Logan 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% -
27 RASHELL Simon 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12% 1%
28 NELSON Henry 100% 58% 11% 1% - -
29 MOODY Paul J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
30 BECK Mica 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
31 CRETEN joachim 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 24%
32 KIL Mitchell 100% 32% 4% - - -
33 REITER Michael L. 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
34 LARA Alfred 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 7%
35 MITCHELL-LU Hiro 100% 69% 18% 2% - -
36 LEE River L 100% 98% 82% 34% 4% -
37 JOHNSON Jack 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
38 MOREHOUSE Brandon 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.