The Great Pumpkin

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 9:45 AM

College Park Neighborhood Center - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 SIMMES Jackson 100% 100% 99% 80% 24%
2 PINKERTON Joseph 100% 100% 100% 95% 56%
3 SLOWINSKI Maia 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
3 FERRONE Gianna 100% 90% 50% 11% -
5 LECLAIR Noah 100% 61% 19% 3% -
6 STEPHENS Trenton 100% 97% 73% 21% 2%
7 BURLACE Brenden 100% 97% 32% 3% -
8 MCGUIRE K. Osborn 100% 95% 65% 16% 1%
9 MOLINA Carlos 100% 98% 80% 36% 1%
10 MCCULLOCH Emma 100% 21% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.