The Great Pumpkin

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 12:30 PM

College Park Neighborhood Center - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 GUAN YI - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3% -
2 WANG Richard - - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
3 SANTANGELO Jack 4% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% - -
3 MA Yuxuan - 2% 8% 21% 30% 25% 11% 2%
5 JACKSON Camila - 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
6 HUANG Pacifia 1% 8% 21% 31% 25% 11% 3% -
7 BOWMAN Elsie 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% - -
8 WILLIAMS Thomas - 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 10% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.