The Great Pumpkin

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 12:30 PM

College Park Neighborhood Center - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 GUAN YI 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3% -
2 WANG Richard 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
3 SANTANGELO Jack 100% 96% 71% 34% 10% 2% - -
3 MA Yuxuan 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 38% 13% 2%
5 JACKSON Camila 100% 100% 99% 93% 75% 44% 15% 2%
6 HUANG Pacifia 100% 99% 91% 70% 39% 14% 3% -
7 BOWMAN Elsie 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% - -
8 WILLIAMS Thomas 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 38% 12% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.