The Great Pumpkin

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 3:15 PM

College Park Neighborhood Center - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 SIMMES Jackson 100% 100% 93% 60% 14%
2 CHENG Thomas 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
3 GROSSE Michael 100% 99% 87% 42% 7%
3 DAVIS Kelly 100% 37% 6% - -
5 DE OLIVEIRA Bruno 100% 90% 29% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.