Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Friday, September 26, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KHANNA Adamantis - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
2 WANG Alex - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
3 LUCAS William - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
3 LI Cooper - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
5 ROH Jaden - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
6 LIN Alex - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
7 SONG Aidan - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
8 SUH Leo - 1% 10% 32% 42% 15%
9 AGARWAAL Yohan - - - 2% 13% 40% 44%
10 LIN Brendan - - 2% 13% 42% 43%
11 ZHANG Shaoxuan - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
12 ISAYENKO Daniel - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 9%
13 CHAVAN Aditya 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
14 STOLCKE Julian - 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
15 WONG Reagan - 5% 22% 39% 27% 6%
16 LI Michael 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
17 KARAVAS Nicholas - 1% 7% 28% 42% 22%
18 BELAND Riley James "RJ" - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 13%
19 MERMEGAS Alexander - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
20 DAI Zihou - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
21 MIAO Heqi - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
22 CHAN Ewan - 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
23 TASIKAS Peter 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
24 WU Vincent 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
25 ZHANG Joseph 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
26 BENNETT Lachlan - 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
27 WANG Theodore - 1% 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
28 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
29 BRADY Jack 3% 20% 39% 28% 9% 1%
30 KANG Jayden 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
31 ARCHIBALD Zachary - 4% 18% 35% 30% 10% 1%
32 SO Morgan 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
33 BALBALE Zayd 6% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
34 MOTOV Max 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
35 SOCHNIKOV Jacob 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
36 CHERNAEV Antonio 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
37 GAO Francis 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
38 ZHERENOVSKY Alan 7% 39% 37% 14% 3% - -
39 GUERRA Corey 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% 1%
40 SONG Ryan 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
41 DMYTRUK Alexander 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
42 LI Kent 15% 40% 32% 11% 2% -
43 JAKOSALEM Dean 5% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
44 COONEY Alexander 27% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
45 TERENTIEV Michael - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
45 MITHUN Prabal 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
47 ALUF Brendon - 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 2%
48 LI Felix 71% 26% 3% - - - -
49 O'KEEFE Brody 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
50 TANJGA Luka 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
51 LEISTNER Armin 6% 25% 39% 24% 6% -
52 HONG Isaac 33% 44% 19% 4% - -
53 PALERMO Evan 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
54 HUANG KIMBALL 42% 42% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.