Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Friday, September 26, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KHANNA Adamantis 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
2 WANG Alex 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
3 LUCAS William 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
3 LI Cooper 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
5 ROH Jaden 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
6 LIN Alex 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
7 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
8 SUH Leo 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 15%
9 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
10 LIN Brendan 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
11 ZHANG Shaoxuan 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
12 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 9%
13 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
14 STOLCKE Julian 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
15 WONG Reagan 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
16 LI Michael 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
17 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
18 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
19 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
20 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
21 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
22 CHAN Ewan 100% 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
23 TASIKAS Peter 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
24 WU Vincent 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 11% 1%
25 ZHANG Joseph 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
26 BENNETT Lachlan 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
27 WANG Theodore 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 7%
28 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
29 BRADY Jack 100% 97% 76% 38% 9% 1%
30 KANG Jayden 100% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
31 ARCHIBALD Zachary 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11% 1%
32 SO Morgan 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
33 BALBALE Zayd 100% 94% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
34 MOTOV Max 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 1%
35 SOCHNIKOV Jacob 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
36 CHERNAEV Antonio 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
37 GAO Francis 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
38 ZHERENOVSKY Alan 100% 93% 54% 17% 3% - -
39 GUERRA Corey 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% 1%
40 SONG Ryan 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
41 DMYTRUK Alexander 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
42 LI Kent 100% 85% 45% 12% 2% -
43 JAKOSALEM Dean 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
44 COONEY Alexander 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
45 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
45 MITHUN Prabal 100% 92% 63% 28% 8% 1% -
47 ALUF Brendon 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 12% 2%
48 LI Felix 100% 29% 3% - - - -
49 O'KEEFE Brody 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% - -
50 TANJGA Luka 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
51 LEISTNER Armin 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
52 HONG Isaac 100% 67% 23% 4% - -
53 PALERMO Evan 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
54 HUANG KIMBALL 100% 58% 17% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.