Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-10 Men's Foil

Friday, September 26, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MOON Nolan 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
2 MOSAMEH Faraj 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
3 CHIN Gregory 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
3 SOBO Samuel 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
5 WU Yulen 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
6 HO Marcus 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
7 LIN Alexander 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
8 KIM ISAAC 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3%
9 FAN Oscar 100% 97% 80% 47% 15% 2%
10 TARDIFF Owen 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
11 CAI Charlie 100% 99% 91% 61% 17%
12 KIM JOSHUA 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
13 WANG Eason 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
14 HWANG Samuel 100% 69% 25% 4% -
15 LI Ethan 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% -
16 CHEN Jonathan 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
17 SANTHOSH Riaan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
18 SUN Neil 100% 89% 52% 14% 1%
19 JAZWINSKI Archer 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
20 WOOD Theodore 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
21 LEE Mason 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
22 JI Eli 100% 90% 54% 16% 2%
23 WOOD Oliver 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.