Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Friday, September 26, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 IVANOV Andrew - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
2 LIU FREDERICK - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 11%
3 CAVALLARO Xavier 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
3 LI Sean - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
5 LAW Benjamin 1% 9% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
6 SALA John - - - 4% 18% 42% 35%
7 LEE Derek 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
8 KO Caden - 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 8%
9 LEE Sehryum - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
10 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7% -
11 YAN Milan 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
12 MAK Nolan 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
13 NG Remy - 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
14 CURTISS Cameron 26% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
14 GU Charles - - < 1% 4% 20% 42% 33%
16 BACON Bryce 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
17 SHAPIRO Benjamin 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
18 AINSWORTH Rhys 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
19 LEE Zachariah 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
20 ISLAM Ryan 44% 40% 13% 2% - - -
21 LAM-DANBACK Zachary 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.