Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Friday, September 26, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 IVANOV Andrew 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 11%
2 LIU FREDERICK 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
3 CAVALLARO Xavier 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
3 LI Sean 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 4%
5 LAW Benjamin 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 7% 1%
6 SALA John 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
7 LEE Derek 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
8 KO Caden 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
9 LEE Sehryum 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 5%
10 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7% -
11 YAN Milan 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
12 MAK Nolan 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
13 NG Remy 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
14 CURTISS Cameron 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
14 GU Charles 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
16 BACON Bryce 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
17 SHAPIRO Benjamin 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
18 AINSWORTH Rhys 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
19 LEE Zachariah 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
20 ISLAM Ryan 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
21 LAM-DANBACK Zachary 100% 94% 69% 35% 11% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.