Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Friday, September 26, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous - 5% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
2 YERENKOVA Ameliia - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
3 FOSS Persephone - - - - 5% 28% 67%
3 NEMORIN Rei - - - 1% 7% 32% 60%
5 SMITH Genevieve 1% 6% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1%
6 PATEL Maia - - 3% 14% 30% 35% 17%
7 BANDHU Saahiti - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
8 ONO Lisa - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 1%
9 CHEN Chloe 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 8% 1%
10 MULHERN Eleanor 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 2%
11 DOROBANTU Emma 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 7% -
12 MOTOVA Masha 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
13 KONDE Anika 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
14 CANARAN Daphne M. 3% 13% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
15 AN Jamie - 4% 17% 32% 32% 13% 1%
16 LASS Genevieve 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
17 LIAO Audrey 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
18 PIENKOWSKI Olivia 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8% 1%
19 WANG Keira 1% 8% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
20 LAU Angela 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
21 PAREEK Aeshna 12% 31% 33% 18% 6% 1% -
22 KARAVAS Lucy 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
23 AN Jasmine 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
24 GU Allison 2% 13% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
25 MADDISON Erica 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
26 QUIROS Lucia 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
27 SINGH Zara 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.