Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Friday, September 26, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 13% 1%
2 YERENKOVA Ameliia 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
3 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
3 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
5 SMITH Genevieve 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
6 PATEL Maia 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 17%
7 BANDHU Saahiti 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
8 ONO Lisa 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 1%
9 CHEN Chloe 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
10 MULHERN Eleanor 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
11 DOROBANTU Emma 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7% -
12 MOTOVA Masha 100% 99% 95% 77% 47% 17% 3%
13 KONDE Anika 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
14 CANARAN Daphne M. 100% 97% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
15 AN Jamie 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 15% 1%
16 LASS Genevieve 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
17 LIAO Audrey 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
18 PIENKOWSKI Olivia 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 9% 1%
19 WANG Keira 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
20 LAU Angela 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
21 PAREEK Aeshna 100% 88% 58% 25% 7% 1% -
22 KARAVAS Lucy 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
23 AN Jasmine 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
24 GU Allison 100% 98% 84% 56% 24% 6% 1%
25 MADDISON Erica 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
26 QUIROS Lucia 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
27 SINGH Zara 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.