Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div II Women's Saber

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HO Sophia 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1%
2 XU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
3 KOHLBERGER Noelle 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
3 NEUMAN Ella 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 17%
5 ZHANG Erica 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
6 NGUYEN Anna 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
7 BANDHU Saahiti 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 7% 1%
8 GOODWIN Julia 100% 58% 17% 3% - -
9 VATS Ishita 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
10 ROHATGI Saanvi 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% -
11 SHI Chuqing 100% 69% 27% 5% - -
12 BARNES Sarah 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
13 KIM Audrey 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
14 INSINGA Ava 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
15 AKULA Roszlynn 100% 100% 93% 70% 33% 7%
16 MURPHY Jessica 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
17 KANG Soeun 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
18 MCSWEENEY Kylie 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 35%
19 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
20 ZENG Jiawen 100% 98% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
21 LEE Kaitlin 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
22 MCMAHON Kylin S. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
23 DESAUTELS Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
24 JAJRA Avni 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
25 LEE Grace 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 12% 1%
26 ZHANG Emily 100% 100% 87% 54% 19% 3%
27 HARRISON Allie 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
28 CRONIN Kayla H. 100% 97% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
29 KHOST Maeve 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
30 VATSA Shradha 100% 78% 38% 11% 1% - -
31 NADINA Ksenia 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
32 MUKHERJEE Moupriya 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
33 GROSSMAN Ann 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.