Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOLBA Abdelrahman - - - - 6% 37% 57%
2 HASSAN Mohamed H. - - - - - 2% 98%
3 TAN Aidan - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
3 CHA James 2% 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% < 1%
5 GHEDINI Luca - 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7%
6 SIMONOV Timofey - - 1% 6% 28% 51% 15%
7 LI Arvin - - 1% 8% 30% 42% 18%
8 URIBE GOMEZ Sebastian Javier - - 5% 21% 39% 28% 7%
10 MARTIN Darius - 4% 16% 30% 31% 15% 3%
11 ZOBEL Eric H. - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
11 TRAUGOT Owen G. - - - - 4% 33% 63%
13 KAPOOR Aayan - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 5%
14 FENG Michael 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
15 CHO Jadon Yushin - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 12%
16 ARCE Andrew W. - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
17 LI Aaron - - 1% 8% 29% 42% 21%
18 CHEN Hanson - - 1% 12% 41% 40% 6%
19 BARTEL Jacob L. - - - 4% 21% 45% 31%
20 XU Andy P. - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
21 SONG Noel - - 2% 15% 41% 41% 1%
23 TANG Terry - 1% 5% 22% 40% 26% 5%
24 DOBBINS Evan W. - - - 4% 25% 53% 19%
25 TIKHAEV Alexander - - 2% 15% 41% 34% 8%
26 CHOI Benjamin - 7% 30% 43% 18% 2% -
27 SHAO Eric - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
28 ORLOV Dmitriy 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4%
29 LIM Charlie - 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
30 HABBOUB Qusai - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 3%
31 METZ Mason 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1% -
32 JANNEY Jonathan 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 2% -
33 ZAIDI Adil 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
34 AKYAMAC Bora - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 18%
35 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
36 HOU Gaven 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 8%
37 TANG Alexander L. - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
38 PECK Quinn 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 4% -
39 TANG Albert - - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
40 WAYBRIGHT Matteo 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
41 PARRA Fabian - - - 1% 8% 38% 54%
42 ZHANG GAVIN J 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
43 MUNDAHL Brandon 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2%
44 LUM-DEBONO Alex - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
45 SHIN Noah 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1%
46 XU Ethan 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 9% 1%
47 CHEN Ethan 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
48 JIN Andy 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
49 BAI Austin 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
50 LYNCH Owen C. 1% 7% 28% 39% 21% 3% -
51 JOSEPH Willem - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
52 DEEB Adam - 5% 17% 31% 30% 15% 3%
53 LAO Kevin 1% 26% 45% 24% 4% - -
54 WANG Rory - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
55 BAKER Stephen - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
56 ALLEN Henry G. - - 7% 29% 46% 16% 1%
57 GORLOVITZKI Amitai 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
58 ZHAO Brian 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
59 TANG August L. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
60 PETERSON Dale 2% 20% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
61 PLUMMER Waylon 29% 40% 23% 7% 1% - -
62 ONIK Ari N. 6% 27% 38% 22% 5% 1% -
63 WU Dawei - 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
64 TOOMRE Kai 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
65 POPESCU Tudor - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
66 RIPA Joseph K. 5% 28% 41% 22% 4% - -
67 LIU Tony 19% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
68 JURMAN Therin 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1%
69 YU Stephen 1% 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
70 LIGOS Alex M. - 3% 18% 38% 32% 8% -
71 TAM Kyle 2% 17% 39% 33% 9% 1% -
72 BELOKON Sammy 5% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
73 SHANNON Jack - 4% 19% 39% 31% 7% -
74 KWON Chase 23% 47% 25% 5% - - -
75 STAFFORD Gareth 8% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
76 GRUNENWALD Henri 4% 24% 41% 25% 5% - -
77 OH Joshua 25% 45% 24% 5% - - -
78 GATES Combustion 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1% -
79 SFINTESCU Alex 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
80 XU Ryan 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
81 CHO Xzander 1% 10% 33% 37% 16% 3% -
82 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
83 XU Brian 29% 45% 21% 4% - - -
84 BLACK Zachary 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
85 YEVDAYEV Tamir 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
86 MARTIRE Luca 1% 30% 45% 20% 3% - -
87 BERETICH Brian 27% 44% 24% 5% - - -
88 STANSBURY Desmond 52% 38% 10% 1% - - -
89 ROJAS Elijah 66% 29% 5% - - - -
90 LEE Charles T 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
91 ZAPPALA Nikolai 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
92 CHUN Zachary 40% 44% 14% 2% - - -
92 ELSAYED Ahmed 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
94 BALESTRACCI Chris < 1% 2% 12% 31% 38% 18%
94 KLYCZEK Andrew 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
96 CHUN Alexander 89% 10% - - - - -
97 DINIO Clara J. 89% 10% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.