Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOLBA Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 57%
2 HASSAN Mohamed H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98%
3 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
3 CHA James 100% 98% 81% 44% 14% 2% < 1%
5 GHEDINI Luca 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
6 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 66% 15%
7 LI Arvin 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
8 URIBE GOMEZ Sebastian Javier 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 34% 7%
10 MARTIN Darius 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 18% 3%
11 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
11 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 63%
13 KAPOOR Aayan 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
14 FENG Michael 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
15 CHO Jadon Yushin 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
16 ARCE Andrew W. 100% 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
17 LI Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
18 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46% 6%
19 BARTEL Jacob L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
20 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
21 SONG Noel 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 1%
23 TANG Terry 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 32% 5%
24 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 19%
25 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 8%
26 CHOI Benjamin 100% 100% 93% 63% 20% 2% -
27 SHAO Eric 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
28 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
29 LIM Charlie 100% 100% 93% 67% 27% 6% -
30 HABBOUB Qusai 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 3%
31 METZ Mason 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1% -
32 JANNEY Jonathan 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2% -
33 ZAIDI Adil 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
34 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
35 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
36 HOU Gaven 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
37 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
38 PECK Quinn 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4% -
39 TANG Albert 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
40 WAYBRIGHT Matteo 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
41 PARRA Fabian 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
42 ZHANG GAVIN J 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
43 MUNDAHL Brandon 100% 96% 77% 41% 13% 2%
44 LUM-DEBONO Alex 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
45 SHIN Noah 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
46 XU Ethan 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
47 CHEN Ethan 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
48 JIN Andy 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
49 BAI Austin 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
50 LYNCH Owen C. 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 3% -
51 JOSEPH Willem 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
52 DEEB Adam 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
53 LAO Kevin 100% 99% 73% 28% 4% - -
54 WANG Rory 100% 100% 94% 75% 39% 9%
55 BAKER Stephen 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
56 ALLEN Henry G. 100% 100% 100% 93% 63% 18% 1%
57 GORLOVITZKI Amitai 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
58 ZHAO Brian 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
59 TANG August L. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
60 PETERSON Dale 100% 98% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
61 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 71% 31% 8% 1% - -
62 ONIK Ari N. 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
63 WU Dawei 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
64 TOOMRE Kai 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
65 POPESCU Tudor 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
66 RIPA Joseph K. 100% 95% 67% 26% 4% - -
67 LIU Tony 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% - -
68 JURMAN Therin 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
69 YU Stephen 100% 99% 75% 35% 9% 1% -
70 LIGOS Alex M. 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8% -
71 TAM Kyle 100% 98% 81% 42% 9% 1% -
72 BELOKON Sammy 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% 1% -
73 SHANNON Jack 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7% -
74 KWON Chase 100% 77% 30% 6% 1% - -
75 STAFFORD Gareth 100% 92% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
76 GRUNENWALD Henri 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% - -
77 OH Joshua 100% 75% 30% 6% 1% - -
78 GATES Combustion 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1% -
79 SFINTESCU Alex 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
80 XU Ryan 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
81 CHO Xzander 100% 99% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
82 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
83 XU Brian 100% 71% 25% 4% - - -
84 BLACK Zachary 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 6% -
85 YEVDAYEV Tamir 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
86 MARTIRE Luca 100% 99% 69% 24% 3% - -
87 BERETICH Brian 100% 73% 29% 6% - - -
88 STANSBURY Desmond 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
89 ROJAS Elijah 100% 34% 5% - - - -
90 LEE Charles T 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% -
91 ZAPPALA Nikolai 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
92 CHUN Zachary 100% 60% 16% 2% - - -
92 ELSAYED Ahmed 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
94 BALESTRACCI Chris 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
94 KLYCZEK Andrew 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
96 CHUN Alexander 100% 11% - - - - -
97 DINIO Clara J. 100% 11% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.