Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 2:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Chloe 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
2 AVATAPALLI Sri Aadya 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
3 KARAVAS Lucy 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
3 DANIELS Jordanna - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
5 NEMORIN Rei - - - 1% 7% 32% 60%
6 GU Allison - 2% 13% 37% 39% 9%
7 KABILING Anika Von Marie - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
8 BINSHTOK Ariana 2% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
9 BREWSTER Ayaki - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 8%
10 AN Jasmine - 1% 7% 22% 36% 28% 7%
11 GAO Anita 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% -
12 VARAH Alaia - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
13 TSIPORUKHA Arie - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
14 KONDE Anika 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1%
15 FREY Elise - 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 4%
16 MENON Maya - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
17 GAWLOWSKI Aurelia - 4% 20% 38% 30% 7%
18 KETT alexis 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
19 WU Jing 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 7% 1%
20 CHANG Daisy 2% 17% 36% 32% 12% 1%
21 POTDAR Harper 15% 39% 33% 11% 1% -
22 JUILLERAT Tabea - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
23 ONG Katherine 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
24 KIM Chloe 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 1% -
25 WILLER Anna - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
26 CHANG Grace 1% 8% 29% 40% 19% 3%
27 LEE Elise - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
28 PURITZ Morgan 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3% -
29 RIFKIN Talia 15% 39% 32% 12% 2% - -
30 ALPEROVICH Madeline 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
31 PORTNOY Elizabeth 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
32 ZHANG Annalyn 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3%
33 MADDISON Estelle 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
34 BIVIJI Rania 3% 18% 36% 30% 10% 1%
35 SARBU Esme 4% 22% 38% 28% 8% 1%
36 PRAKASH Lithika 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
37 DY Azurie 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
38 FENG chloe 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
39 KRISHNAN Anu 6% 26% 40% 23% 5% -
40 DEMATTEIS Katarina 25% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
41 LIU Vivienne 30% 45% 21% 4% - -
41 SINGH Zara 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
43 LONG Penelope 42% 41% 15% 2% - -
44 TARAS Jaanvi < 1% 7% 31% 40% 18% 3% -
45 GAO Madeleine 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.