Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 2:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Chloe 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
2 AVATAPALLI Sri Aadya 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
3 KARAVAS Lucy 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
3 DANIELS Jordanna 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
5 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
6 GU Allison 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 9%
7 KABILING Anika Von Marie 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
8 BINSHTOK Ariana 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 2%
9 BREWSTER Ayaki 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
10 AN Jasmine 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
11 GAO Anita 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 3% -
12 VARAH Alaia 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 43%
13 TSIPORUKHA Arie 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
14 KONDE Anika 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1%
15 FREY Elise 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
16 MENON Maya 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27%
17 GAWLOWSKI Aurelia 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
18 KETT alexis 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
19 WU Jing 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
20 CHANG Daisy 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 1%
21 POTDAR Harper 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% -
22 JUILLERAT Tabea 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
23 ONG Katherine 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
24 KIM Chloe 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
25 WILLER Anna 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 13%
26 CHANG Grace 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 3%
27 LEE Elise 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 2%
28 PURITZ Morgan 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
29 RIFKIN Talia 100% 85% 46% 15% 3% - -
30 ALPEROVICH Madeline 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
31 PORTNOY Elizabeth 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
32 ZHANG Annalyn 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
33 MADDISON Estelle 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
34 BIVIJI Rania 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
35 SARBU Esme 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
36 PRAKASH Lithika 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
37 DY Azurie 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% - -
38 FENG chloe 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
39 KRISHNAN Anu 100% 94% 68% 28% 5% -
40 DEMATTEIS Katarina 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
41 LIU Vivienne 100% 70% 25% 4% - -
41 SINGH Zara 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
43 LONG Penelope 100% 58% 17% 2% - -
44 TARAS Jaanvi 100% 100% 92% 61% 21% 3% -
45 GAO Madeleine 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.