Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BERA Enzo - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
2 LIN Maxim - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
3 KUSHKOV Daniel - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
3 AGARWAAL Yohan - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
5 KIM Ethan - - - - 6% 30% 64%
6 ALAVE Kyle - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 6%
7 WANG Daniel - - 1% 10% 38% 52%
8 ROH Jaden - 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
9 OH Aster - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
10 ZHAO Lucas - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
11 DAI Zihou - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
12 LUCAS William - 3% 15% 32% 32% 14% 2%
13 HU Jayden 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7% 1%
14 CIEMINS Henry - 4% 18% 40% 32% 6%
15 CLARK Aram 1% 8% 28% 40% 22% 2%
16 LIU Kevin - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
17 WANG Alex - 7% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1%
18 WONG Max - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
19 PORTER Dupree - - 4% 18% 38% 33% 7%
20 SUBA Lucas - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
21 HUANG Alex F. - - - - 3% 26% 71%
22 LIM Brandon - 3% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
23 WEI William - 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% -
24 JI Johnson - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 4%
25 JIN Liangxuan - - - 2% 23% 75%
26 ZHAO Royce - - 3% 18% 40% 34% 5%
27 MOHAMED Moaz 1% 8% 23% 32% 25% 10% 2%
28 HUANG Alexander C. - - 3% 14% 36% 37% 9%
29 WAXLER Ryan - - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
30 MEHAN Nicholas - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
31 KETT Richard 8% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
32 ROSADO Sebastian 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
33 AYDOGDU Hakan - 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 9%
34 WONG Caleb W. - - 3% 17% 37% 34% 10%
35 VEDRE Neil - 1% 9% 31% 40% 17% 1%
36 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
37 BELAND Riley James "RJ" - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
38 NAYAK Surin K. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
39 YOOK Isaac - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 14%
40 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas - 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5%
41 MCDONALD Finn - 5% 22% 41% 28% 5%
42 ZWAKA Jonas 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 4%
43 BERKOWITZ Gavin - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
44 PAVLENISHVILI Luke - - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
44 LAMTAN Christoffer - 1% 7% 27% 39% 23% 4%
46 ZHANG Shaoxuan 5% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
47 BIVIJI Ali - - 1% 5% 23% 43% 29%
48 SASSI Ilyas - 2% 12% 29% 36% 19% 2%
49 LIU Eric - 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
50 BANSAL Krishiv 4% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1% -
51 BARENBOYM Michael - 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
52 GONG Jerry - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
53 FIROOZI Sam 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
54 DREYER William 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
55 DOMINIQUE Remson - - 4% 19% 35% 31% 10%
56 SRIVATS Vedh - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
57 LAU Kyrus 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
58 LI Cooper 1% 8% 23% 32% 24% 10% 2%
59 DOSTAL Maximilian 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
60 COUNTS Nicholas - 1% 8% 29% 38% 21% 4%
61 WANG Theodore 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
62 DE SIENA Salvatore - 2% 10% 27% 36% 22% 4%
63 EKONG-REID Severian 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
64 LIN Brendan 4% 23% 39% 27% 7% -
65 LIN Philip T. - - - 5% 23% 43% 29%
66 SADHU Neiyam 1% 8% 29% 40% 20% 2%
67 LIU Ryan 3% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
68 ONG Dylan - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
69 LORENZ Evan - 7% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
70 COPP Max 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
71 BALE ATMAN 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
72 KRAYTMAN Matthew 1% 21% 44% 26% 7% 1% -
73 LIEBOWITZ Carson 1% 22% 40% 28% 8% 1% -
74 PEACE Sam 23% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
75 NAJI Ethan - 11% 33% 36% 16% 3% -
76 WASCO Andrew 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
77 JAIN Karanvir 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
78 LEVIN Jacob - 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
79 YU Zhexuan - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 9%
80 AROUNA Ilan - 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 1%
81 ZHANG Ray - 3% 21% 41% 28% 7% -
82 MIAO Heqi - 2% 13% 32% 34% 17% 3%
83 KIARA Kinoti - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
84 KENNEDY Tomás 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
85 MARTINSON Torm 3% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
86 JIANG Terence 10% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
87 RAJMOHAN Arya 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
88 LIN Alex 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
89 LIANG Morgan 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% -
90 JARAMILLO Juan 2% 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% -
91 CHANG Timothy 5% 23% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
92 ZHANG Simon 3% 37% 41% 16% 3% - -
93 MATTINGLY Ian 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% -
94 SO Morgan 22% 42% 28% 7% 1% -
95 GREENE Kevin 12% 36% 35% 15% 3% -
96 NIEBERGALL Jaxson 11% 35% 37% 15% 2% -
97 KUSHKOV Michael 38% 42% 17% 3% - -
98 WELSTEAD Nicholas 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
99 BABIGIAN Jason - 5% 22% 37% 28% 8% 1%
100 CHAVAN Aditya 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
101 WAXLER Alex 25% 41% 25% 8% 1% - -
102 SHAPIRO Simon 1% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
103 SUBA Mason 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
104 LEE Damian - 16% 41% 32% 10% 1% -
105 BONURA Brandon 1% 15% 37% 33% 12% 2% -
105 STEWART Samuel 4% 40% 41% 13% 2% - -
107 BIVIJI Adam 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
107 LI Aidan 87% 13% 1% - - - -
109 ZHIVICH Theo 68% 28% 4% - - - -
110 HAIRABEDIAN Ellis 23% 48% 23% 5% 1% - -
111 KARAVAS Nicholas 1% 7% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
111 PATEL Kiran 91% 9% - - - - -
113 THORPE Owen 34% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
114 CADET Mathias 2% 31% 41% 20% 4% - -
115 MEDVINSKY Daniel < 1% 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
116 NG Nathaniel 12% 31% 33% 18% 6% 1% -
117 EASLEY Dallas 32% 43% 20% 4% - -
118 BLUM Peter PJ 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
119 MUKHERJEE Aryan 44% 43% 11% 1% - - -
120 RIOS Alexander 87% 13% 1% - - - -
120 MARTINEZ Luke 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
122 VENKATESAN Akash 85% 15% 1% - - - -
123 DY Azriel 83% 16% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.