Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
2 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 49%
3 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
3 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
5 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 64%
6 ALAVE Kyle 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
7 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
8 ROH Jaden 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
9 OH Aster 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
10 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
11 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
12 LUCAS William 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
13 HU Jayden 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
14 CIEMINS Henry 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 6%
15 CLARK Aram 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 2%
16 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
17 WANG Alex 100% 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1%
18 WONG Max 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
19 PORTER Dupree 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
20 SUBA Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
21 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
22 LIM Brandon 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
23 WEI William 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% -
24 JI Johnson 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
25 JIN Liangxuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
26 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 5%
27 MOHAMED Moaz 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 2%
28 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 9%
29 WAXLER Ryan 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
30 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
31 KETT Richard 100% 92% 60% 21% 3% -
32 ROSADO Sebastian 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
33 AYDOGDU Hakan 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 37% 9%
34 WONG Caleb W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 10%
35 VEDRE Neil 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 19% 1%
36 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
37 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
38 NAYAK Surin K. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
39 YOOK Isaac 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 14%
40 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
41 MCDONALD Finn 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 5%
42 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
43 BERKOWITZ Gavin 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
44 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
44 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 27% 4%
46 ZHANG Shaoxuan 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
47 BIVIJI Ali 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
48 SASSI Ilyas 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 2%
49 LIU Eric 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
50 BANSAL Krishiv 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
51 BARENBOYM Michael 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
52 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
53 FIROOZI Sam 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
54 DREYER William 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
55 DOMINIQUE Remson 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
56 SRIVATS Vedh 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 5%
57 LAU Kyrus 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
58 LI Cooper 100% 99% 90% 68% 36% 11% 2%
59 DOSTAL Maximilian 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
60 COUNTS Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 4%
61 WANG Theodore 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
62 DE SIENA Salvatore 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
63 EKONG-REID Severian 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
64 LIN Brendan 100% 96% 73% 34% 7% -
65 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 29%
66 SADHU Neiyam 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 2%
67 LIU Ryan 100% 97% 84% 56% 25% 6% 1%
68 ONG Dylan 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
69 LORENZ Evan 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
70 COPP Max 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
71 BALE ATMAN 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
72 KRAYTMAN Matthew 100% 99% 78% 34% 7% 1% -
73 LIEBOWITZ Carson 100% 99% 77% 37% 9% 1% -
74 PEACE Sam 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
75 NAJI Ethan 100% 100% 89% 56% 19% 3% -
76 WASCO Andrew 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
77 JAIN Karanvir 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
78 LEVIN Jacob 100% 100% 89% 57% 20% 3% -
79 YU Zhexuan 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 45% 9%
80 AROUNA Ilan 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
81 ZHANG Ray 100% 100% 97% 75% 35% 7% -
82 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3%
83 KIARA Kinoti 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
84 KENNEDY Tomás 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% -
85 MARTINSON Torm 100% 97% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
86 JIANG Terence 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
87 RAJMOHAN Arya 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
88 LIN Alex 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
89 LIANG Morgan 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% -
90 JARAMILLO Juan 100% 98% 65% 25% 5% 1% -
91 CHANG Timothy 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
92 ZHANG Simon 100% 97% 60% 19% 3% - -
93 MATTINGLY Ian 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
94 SO Morgan 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% -
95 GREENE Kevin 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
96 NIEBERGALL Jaxson 100% 89% 54% 17% 2% -
97 KUSHKOV Michael 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
98 WELSTEAD Nicholas 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
99 BABIGIAN Jason 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
100 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
101 WAXLER Alex 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
102 SHAPIRO Simon 100% 99% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
103 SUBA Mason 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
104 LEE Damian 100% 100% 84% 43% 11% 1% -
105 BONURA Brandon 100% 99% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
105 STEWART Samuel 100% 96% 56% 15% 2% - -
107 BIVIJI Adam 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
107 LI Aidan 100% 13% 1% - - - -
109 ZHIVICH Theo 100% 32% 5% - - - -
110 HAIRABEDIAN Ellis 100% 77% 29% 5% 1% - -
111 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 99% 92% 72% 41% 14% 2%
111 PATEL Kiran 100% 9% - - - - -
113 THORPE Owen 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
114 CADET Mathias 100% 98% 66% 25% 5% - -
115 MEDVINSKY Daniel 100% 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 4%
116 NG Nathaniel 100% 88% 57% 25% 6% 1% -
117 EASLEY Dallas 100% 68% 25% 5% - -
118 BLUM Peter PJ 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
119 MUKHERJEE Aryan 100% 56% 12% 1% - - -
120 RIOS Alexander 100% 13% 1% - - - -
120 MARTINEZ Luke 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
122 VENKATESAN Akash 100% 15% 1% - - - -
123 DY Azriel 100% 17% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.