Tiger Open 2025

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Fike Recreation Center - Piedmont, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHEHORN Connor - - 1% 6% 29% 51% 13%
2 MONAGHAN Claire (Micah) - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 5%
3 CAMPBELL Justin - - - - 5% 31% 63%
3 MONSCH Channing - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
5 ALLEN Charles - 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% -
6 RILEY Owen - 5% 24% 39% 26% 6% -
7 SHULER Alden 2% 19% 40% 29% 8% 1% -
8 DUBE Ian D. 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
9 DING Tommy - - - 3% 15% 40% 43%
10 COLLETTE Tobias - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 4%
11 FLYNN Oliver - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
12 WATERS Samantha M. - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
13 WANG Thea - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 1%
14 OH Seonghun 1% 9% 29% 37% 19% 4% -
15 STEFKO Ryan - - 5% 23% 40% 27% 4%
16 PATEL Jay 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
17 HAZEL Susan L. - 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
18 SCOTT Ford - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
19 SHIEH Kiley 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
20 MUDD Ethan 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
21 MOON Emma - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
22 DESAUTELS Julie 2% 14% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
23 AYANA Guteraa - 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
24 DUERSON Lauren - - 3% 16% 38% 34% 9%
25 CARDINAL Elise 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
26 JACKSON Julia 25% 45% 24% 5% - - -
27 REMINGTON Brennan 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
28 KADRIC Max 2% 27% 41% 24% 5% - -
29 BLAASE Tiffany 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
29 GRUNER Aidan 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
31 PUTNAM Nicholas 66% 28% 5% - - - -
32 MAYER Abbey 30% 46% 20% 4% - - -
33 JONES Jacob 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
34 LEWIS Caleb 2% 18% 53% 24% 4% - -
35 FISHER Natalie 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.