Tiger Open 2025

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Fike Recreation Center - Piedmont, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHEHORN Connor 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 13%
2 MONAGHAN Claire (Micah) 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 31% 5%
3 CAMPBELL Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
3 MONSCH Channing 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
5 ALLEN Charles 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 7% -
6 RILEY Owen 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% -
7 SHULER Alden 100% 98% 79% 39% 9% 1% -
8 DUBE Ian D. 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4% -
9 DING Tommy 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43%
10 COLLETTE Tobias 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
11 FLYNN Oliver 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
12 WATERS Samantha M. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
13 WANG Thea 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 1%
14 OH Seonghun 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4% -
15 STEFKO Ryan 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 4%
16 PATEL Jay 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
17 HAZEL Susan L. 100% 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
18 SCOTT Ford 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
19 SHIEH Kiley 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
20 MUDD Ethan 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 5% -
21 MOON Emma 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
22 DESAUTELS Julie 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 5% -
23 AYANA Guteraa 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
24 DUERSON Lauren 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
25 CARDINAL Elise 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
26 JACKSON Julia 100% 75% 29% 5% - - -
27 REMINGTON Brennan 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
28 KADRIC Max 100% 98% 71% 29% 6% - -
29 BLAASE Tiffany 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
29 GRUNER Aidan 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
31 PUTNAM Nicholas 100% 34% 5% - - - -
32 MAYER Abbey 100% 70% 25% 4% - - -
33 JONES Jacob 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
34 LEWIS Caleb 100% 98% 81% 28% 4% - -
35 FISHER Natalie 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.