The Virginia Tech Open

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 1:00 PM

VT RecSports Field House - Blacksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SMITH Finnley - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
2 HINDS David E. - - - 4% 31% 66%
3 PRICE Owen - - 3% 22% 46% 29%
3 OLSON Emerson - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
5 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel - - 3% 13% 33% 37% 14%
6 O'HARA Keegan J. - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
7 FAYVUSOVICH Emmanual - 17% 41% 32% 9% 1%
8 JONES Zamauri 2% 18% 39% 31% 9% 1%
9 NANAYAKKARA Dinuth - 2% 14% 38% 36% 11%
10 WATSON Raymond - 2% 12% 36% 41% 10%
10 SAE-TUNG Kevin - 1% 5% 24% 43% 27%
12 TINGLE Byrd 2% 18% 39% 31% 9% -
13 SOPHRONIUS Jeddie - 1% 13% 43% 35% 8%
14 GUARDIOLA Emily 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
15 SINGH Meet - 3% 24% 44% 25% 3%
16 TSENG Lucas - 4% 21% 39% 29% 7%
17 BOZARTH Alex - 4% 23% 42% 27% 3%
18 HAYES Nathan P. - - - 4% 27% 69%
19 STRUMLAUF Jacob 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
20 GREENE Max - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
21 HAVERSON Rana 20% 43% 30% 7% - -
22 BORAN Connor 3% 19% 38% 31% 10% 1%
23 CARNEY Landon 17% 42% 32% 9% 1% -
24 BLUHM Kyle 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
25 STEFFENSEN Lily 8% 40% 39% 12% 1% -
26 FISHER Edward 1% 13% 38% 36% 12% 1%
27 LOVE Ryan 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
28 CONANT Aidan - 4% 20% 40% 31% 5%
29 IIDA Kenji - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
30 EDELMAN Catherine 11% 37% 38% 12% 1% -
31 VOORHEES Owen 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1%
32 PARKER Joseph 36% 47% 15% 2% - -
33 ROUNTREE Andrew 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
34 ALLEN Lily 64% 31% 5% - - -
35 TRUDEAU Allison 39% 43% 16% 2% - -
36 MITCHELL Robert 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
37 LAU-ALLEN Macy 9% 35% 41% 13% 1% -
38 BLEVINS Carolyn 22% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
39 DAVIDSON Joseph 13% 71% 15% 1% - -
40 VELASQUEZ-FLORES Estevis 1% 15% 41% 34% 9% 1%
40 DAVIDSON Micah 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% -
42 TRAN Katarina 15% 43% 34% 6% - -
43 LEE Nathan < 1% 5% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.