The Virginia Tech Open

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 1:00 PM

VT RecSports Field House - Blacksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SMITH Finnley 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
2 HINDS David E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
3 PRICE Owen 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 29%
3 OLSON Emerson 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
5 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
6 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
7 FAYVUSOVICH Emmanual 100% 100% 83% 42% 10% 1%
8 JONES Zamauri 100% 98% 80% 40% 10% 1%
9 NANAYAKKARA Dinuth 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 11%
10 WATSON Raymond 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 10%
10 SAE-TUNG Kevin 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
12 TINGLE Byrd 100% 98% 80% 41% 9% -
13 SOPHRONIUS Jeddie 100% 100% 99% 86% 43% 8%
14 GUARDIOLA Emily 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
15 SINGH Meet 100% 100% 97% 72% 28% 3%
16 TSENG Lucas 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
17 BOZARTH Alex 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 3%
18 HAYES Nathan P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
19 STRUMLAUF Jacob 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
20 GREENE Max 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
21 HAVERSON Rana 100% 80% 37% 7% - -
22 BORAN Connor 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1%
23 CARNEY Landon 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% -
24 BLUHM Kyle 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
25 STEFFENSEN Lily 100% 92% 52% 13% 1% -
26 FISHER Edward 100% 99% 86% 48% 13% 1%
27 LOVE Ryan 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
28 CONANT Aidan 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 5%
29 IIDA Kenji 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
30 EDELMAN Catherine 100% 89% 52% 14% 1% -
31 VOORHEES Owen 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1%
32 PARKER Joseph 100% 64% 17% 2% - -
33 ROUNTREE Andrew 100% 99% 92% 65% 29% 6% 1%
34 ALLEN Lily 100% 36% 5% - - -
35 TRUDEAU Allison 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
36 MITCHELL Robert 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
37 LAU-ALLEN Macy 100% 91% 55% 15% 1% -
38 BLEVINS Carolyn 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
39 DAVIDSON Joseph 100% 87% 16% 1% - -
40 VELASQUEZ-FLORES Estevis 100% 99% 84% 44% 10% 1%
40 DAVIDSON Micah 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
42 TRAN Katarina 100% 85% 41% 7% - -
43 LEE Nathan 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.