The Virginia Tech Open

Div III Mixed Saber

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 4:00 PM

VT RecSports Field House - Blacksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARCELL Colby - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
2 HAMILTON Jacob - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 4%
3 SEMP Brannon A. - - 1% 8% 30% 44% 16%
3 ELIAN David - - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
5 BAIN Tiernan - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
6 WANG Ziyao 3% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
7 PIENKOWSKI Jakub - 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
8 ALLEN Asa 1% 6% 21% 34% 26% 10% 1%
9 XIE Eric - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 13%
10 RACHAPROLU Divyagnyaan Siddartha - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
11 ZHOU Deborah 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% < 1% -
12 STEWART Brian - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 9%
13 CRESSWELL Lochlann - 3% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
14 STRUMLAUF Jacob 6% 26% 39% 23% 6% - -
15 LESTYAN Cat 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
16 SILK Ryan 2% 15% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
17 SIMPSON Tobias - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
18 WERNER Alexander 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
19 CURRY Robin 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
20 KNOWLES Patrick - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
21 CONANT Aidan - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
22 SHAGHAGHI Sahand 7% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
23 CLICK Joe 28% 40% 23% 7% 1% - -
24 JAFAR Abdullah 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
25 FARLEY Alexander 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
26 BURGOA David 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
27 OHASHI Jax 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
28 CLEMMONS William 11% 40% 34% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.