The Virginia Tech Open

Div III Mixed Saber

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 4:00 PM

VT RecSports Field House - Blacksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARCELL Colby 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
2 HAMILTON Jacob 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 27% 4%
3 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 16%
3 ELIAN David 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
5 BAIN Tiernan 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 27% 5%
6 WANG Ziyao 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1% -
7 PIENKOWSKI Jakub 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
8 ALLEN Asa 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
9 XIE Eric 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
10 RACHAPROLU Divyagnyaan Siddartha 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
11 ZHOU Deborah 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% < 1% -
12 STEWART Brian 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 9%
13 CRESSWELL Lochlann 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
14 STRUMLAUF Jacob 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% - -
15 LESTYAN Cat 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
16 SILK Ryan 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
17 SIMPSON Tobias 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
18 WERNER Alexander 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
19 CURRY Robin 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
20 KNOWLES Patrick 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
21 CONANT Aidan 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
22 SHAGHAGHI Sahand 100% 93% 64% 27% 7% 1% -
23 CLICK Joe 100% 72% 32% 8% 1% - -
24 JAFAR Abdullah 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
25 FARLEY Alexander 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
26 BURGOA David 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
27 OHASHI Jax 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
28 CLEMMONS William 100% 89% 49% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.