STONERIDGE Trophy @ Bay Area Fencing Club

Y-10 Mixed Saber

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 9:15 AM

BAY AREA FENCING CLUB - Pleasanton, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YUNG Nathan 100% 97% 74% 36% 10% 1% < 1%
2 GALANG Aiden 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
3 FANG Kaitlyn 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% -
3 SEVERT David 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 3%
5 CAO Kaylin 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
6 WU Vincent 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 1%
7 LIN Aaron 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
8 WU Jaren 100% 100% 95% 73% 30% 4% -
9 PAK Louis 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
10 YAO Jiayue 100% 100% 100% 90% 55% 14%
11 LIU Thomas 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
12 LAN Rory 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
13 CHAE Ahwon 100% 96% 58% 17% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.