STONERIDGE Trophy @ Bay Area Fencing Club

Y-12 Mixed Saber

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 12:15 PM

BAY AREA FENCING CLUB - Pleasanton, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Jadyn 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
2 LI Sky 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
3 GO Noa 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
3 JECHA Zachary 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
5 FANG Kaitlyn 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
6 KIM Connor 100% 98% 82% 50% 18% 4% -
7 DESHPANDE Saisha 100% 98% 86% 59% 28% 8% 1%
8 WHITE Marcus 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
9 LI Diya 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
10 SISTLA Aditya 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
11 CLAES Emma 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
12 SEVERT David 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
13 DOUGLAS Milo 100% 98% 88% 61% 29% 7% 1%
14 PAN Lai An 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.