STONERIDGE Trophy @ Bay Area Fencing Club

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 3:30 PM

BAY AREA FENCING CLUB - Pleasanton, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LIU Aiden - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
2 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz - - 3% 20% 45% 32%
3 LI Yunze - 1% 10% 36% 40% 13%
3 SITU Baiqin Kevin - 1% 6% 25% 44% 25%
5 ZHU Claire - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
6 SUN Lucas - - 1% 13% 53% 33%
7 ZHAN Catherine - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
8 AGARWAL Jagrav - 3% 16% 40% 38% 3%
9 PAWAR Sanvi - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
10 TANG Clementine - - 6% 34% 44% 15%
11 GUO Jianing 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
12 ZALTZMAN Maya 1% 17% 40% 33% 9%
13 JOESUF Thea - 7% 29% 43% 21%
14 SPICER-YOUAKIM Benjamin 1% 8% 31% 46% 14% 1%
15 DONG YIKUN 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
16 SINGH Reyaansh - 2% 16% 38% 34% 10%
17 WONG Sebastian 9% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
18 LIN Zhengxuan 4% 24% 41% 25% 6% 1%
19 GU Alexandra 1% 8% 32% 45% 13% 1%
20 KHANAL Sarah 1% 11% 36% 39% 14%
21 DONG Nancy - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
22 KAUDER Rourke 4% 27% 49% 19% 2% -
23 BHOOMI Abhiram 2% 15% 37% 33% 12% 1%
24 ZENG Cayden 2% 15% 40% 37% 6% -
25 LIN Dylan 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2%
26 SOUSA Lauren 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
27 FAN Vivian 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
28 SHU Kayla 5% 28% 39% 22% 5% -
29 KIM Rylie 2% 24% 42% 27% 6%
30 ZHAI Muyan 13% 43% 35% 8% 1% -
31 TANG Ming-Hao (Audrey) 7% 30% 40% 20% 3% -
32 WONG Kingston 40% 43% 15% 2% - -
33 LEE Harry 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% -
34 SAXENA Niven - 1% 53% 40% 6% -
35 POOREY Sophie 31% 42% 21% 5% - -
36 LUO Derren 58% 34% 7% 1% - -
37 TUNG Alison 51% 40% 9% 1% - -
38 KIM Owen 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
39 CHEN Celina 77% 21% 2% - -
40 HSU Jayren < 1% 2% 16% 39% 34% 8%
41 LOPEZ-HOR Emma Meixian 17% 46% 29% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.