STONERIDGE Trophy @ Bay Area Fencing Club

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 3:30 PM

BAY AREA FENCING CLUB - Pleasanton, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
2 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 33%
3 LI Yunze 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 13%
5 ZHU Claire 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
6 SUN Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 33%
7 ZHAN Catherine 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
8 AGARWAL Jagrav 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 3%
9 PAWAR Sanvi 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
10 TANG Clementine 100% 100% 100% 94% 59% 15%
11 GUO Jianing 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
12 ZALTZMAN Maya 100% 99% 82% 42% 9%
13 JOESUF Thea 100% 100% 93% 64% 21%
14 SPICER-YOUAKIM Benjamin 100% 99% 92% 61% 15% 1%
15 DONG YIKUN 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1%
16 SINGH Reyaansh 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 10%
17 WONG Sebastian 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
18 LIN Zhengxuan 100% 96% 72% 31% 7% 1%
19 GU Alexandra 100% 99% 91% 59% 14% 1%
20 KHANAL Sarah 100% 99% 88% 53% 14%
21 DONG Nancy 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 9%
22 KAUDER Rourke 100% 96% 69% 21% 2% -
23 BHOOMI Abhiram 100% 98% 80% 38% 7%
24 ZENG Cayden 100% 98% 83% 43% 6% -
25 LIN Dylan 100% 99% 85% 46% 10%
26 SOUSA Lauren 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
27 FAN Vivian 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
28 SHU Kayla 100% 94% 62% 21% 3%
29 KIM Rylie 100% 98% 74% 32% 6%
30 ZHAI Muyan 100% 87% 44% 9% 1% -
31 TANG Ming-Hao (Audrey) 100% 93% 63% 23% 3% -
32 WONG Kingston 100% 60% 17% 2% - -
33 LEE Harry 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
34 SAXENA Niven 100% 100% 99% 46% 6% -
35 POOREY Sophie 100% 69% 27% 5% - -
36 LUO Derren 100% 41% 7% - -
37 TUNG Alison 100% 49% 9% 1% - -
38 KIM Owen 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
39 CHEN Celina 100% 23% 2% - -
40 HSU Jayren 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 8%
41 LOPEZ-HOR Emma Meixian 100% 83% 37% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.