AFM Youth and Cadet Cup - Event #1

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIN NAKAZONO Justin 100% 100% 97% 82% 42% 3%
2 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 7%
3 WONG Vansen 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
3 LIU Daniel 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
5 KROTZ Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
6 FUNG SCOTT 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
7 OR Anson 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
8 LIU Xuyao 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
9 ABRAHAM Aaron 100% 98% 77% 34% 6% -
10 HERNANDEZ-ALDANA Miguel 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
11 SZETO Zachary 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
12 YE Andrew 100% 63% 22% 4% < 1% - -
13 LYSENKO Timofei 100% 98% 84% 44% 11% 1%
14 TAMHANE Sidhant 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
15 YU Haoyun Timothy 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
16 LI Guanhua 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
17 DODGE Myles 100% 93% 61% 22% 3% -
18 LEMENAGER Calder 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 4%
19 AKKARA Skyler 100% 64% 19% 3% - -
20 WEI Henry 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 7%
21 LUCENAY Samuel 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3%
22 LOUIE Kyle 100% 74% 27% 4% - -
23 RAY Robindro 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
24 DESHPANDE Arihant 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
25 ABDULHAK Enzo 100% 100% 99% 85% 48% 12%
26 HOWLES Zubin 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
27 YU Brandon 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
28 WANG Astin 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
29 JHA Agastya 100% 100% 82% 41% 10% 1%
30 THOMAS John 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 6% -
31 MCCOY August 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 4%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.