AFM Youth and Cadet Cup - Event #1

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ALI Maryum 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 12%
2 MUKKU Emily 100% 100% 96% 73% 29%
3 YU Jiaming Lisa 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
3 HUANG Jui-An 100% 99% 90% 60% 20%
5 YANG Emma 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
6 LI zoey 100% 99% 91% 60% 17%
7 LUO Xinyue 100% 92% 63% 25% 4%
8 TRUONG Chloe 100% 100% 96% 78% 37% 7%
9 LIU Aubrey 100% 92% 55% 16% 2%
10 WU Angela 100% 97% 78% 41% 9%
11 LEE Elizabeth 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% -
12 REDDY Annika 100% 89% 52% 14% 1% -
13 HENDERSON Ella 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 65%
14 LI Celine 100% 74% 32% 7% 1%
15 MARTYNOVA Veronica 100% 90% 57% 19% 3% -
16 DEFENSOR Ella 100% 96% 73% 34% 7%
17 KIM Kailyn 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
18 YE Charlotte 100% 44% 8% 1% -
19 MENDIRATTA Olivia 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
20 WAGENAAR Ava 100% 98% 79% 35% 6%
21 CHALFIN Samantha 100% 100% 88% 52% 14% -
22 GUO Cecilia 100% 81% 38% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.