AFM Youth and Cadet Cup - Event #1

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHEN Chris 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
2 SZETO Jonathan 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
3 ABEYSINGHE Sayul 100% 99% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
3 XUE Skyler 100% 100% 97% 87% 61% 28% 6%
5 ZHANG Luran 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% 1%
6 MAHILCHI Akil 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
7 CHEN Lukie 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
8 GYR Jonah 100% 95% 75% 43% 16% 3% -
9 VIJAY Vyom 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 26% 5%
10 CHANG Harvey 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3% -
11 ARULKUMAR Rihaan 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
12 LAZOVSKY Ryan 100% 84% 49% 17% 3% - -
13 YANG Liam 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
14 CHENG Edward 100% 100% 96% 73% 29% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.