AFM Youth and Cadet Cup - Event #1

Y-10 Women's Épée

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 DEFENSOR Ella 100% 94% 51% 9% < 1%
2 WU Angela 100% 59% 5% - < 1%
3 YU Elise 100% 99% 83% 44% 9%
3 WAGENAAR Ava 100% 93% 44% 5% -
5 TSE Etty 100% 100% 100% 97% 60%
6 KANG Irene Kaur 100% 100% 99% 66% 16%
7 CUI Xinwen 100% 65% 16% - -
8 WU Avery 100% 100% 99% 91% 50%
9 RANADE Ira 100% 54% 12% 1% -
10 TAN Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 82% 8%
11 YE Charlotte 100% 22% 1% - -
12 HSU Audrey 100% 99% 71% 22% 2%
13 NISHIYAMA Emma 100% 100% 94% 60% 16%
14 KONG Brie 100% 100% 94% 68% 25%
15 ZHOU Kimberly 100% 99% 81% 35% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.