Leon Auriol Open

Div I-A Women's Épée

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
2 BEAVER Ava 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 9%
3 ABUELFUTUH Sama 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 3%
3 WANG Chantal 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 2%
5 BINIAK Lacey 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
6 SCHULTZ Nomi 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 9% 1%
7 MYRAH Vivienne 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 18%
8 MONTOYA Amy C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 18% 1%
9 YOUN Kylie 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
10 WANG Olivia 100% 91% 53% 16% 2% - -
11 HSU Tzu-Chen 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4%
12 GLOVER Cynthia E. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 4%
13 MOHAN Riya 100% 97% 74% 30% 6% - -
14 GUAN Isabella 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% 1%
15 MAENG Gloria 100% 74% 26% 4% - - -
16 RAND Vivian K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
17 SONG Sunny 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 6%
18 YIN Angelina 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
19 MIXON Ivory 100% 68% 25% 4% - -
20 CHUNG Kimberly L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
21 KARTHIK Diya 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
22 MANDEL Jenner 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% -
23 KUTSY Olga 100% 99% 93% 66% 25% 2%
24 REED Juliya 100% 85% 46% 12% 1% -
25 LEE Kaitlyn 100% 96% 74% 34% 7% 1%
26 YAKOUT Jasmine 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -
27 HUFF Ava 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% -
28 SCHMID Carola K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
29 BLASKO Judit 100% 94% 62% 21% 3% - -
30 LI Zhiyao 100% 95% 64% 25% 5% - -
31 HABERKERN Kundry E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 9%
32 KOHLI Tanvi 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
33 BENCH Melody 100% 65% 20% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.