Leon Auriol Open

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MITBERG Gregory W. - - - - 1% 17% 82%
2 GUERRA Gabriel H. - - - - 5% 32% 62%
3 LI Samuel - 1% 13% 38% 37% 9% 1%
3 ROZALSKI Eli - - - 1% 9% 36% 55%
5 RAUTUREAU Hugo - - - 1% 10% 49% 41%
6 HARROCH Faustin - 5% 27% 42% 22% 4% < 1%
7 KIM Harrison - - 3% 20% 53% 25%
8 SPROWLES Cameron D. - - 1% 8% 42% 50%
9 KRYLTSOV Michael - - 2% 17% 48% 33%
10 SHAGIDANYAN German - - - 6% 43% 46% 4%
11 LEE Christopher T. - - - 8% 48% 40% 4%
12 WU Alistair - - 2% 18% 48% 32%
13 MIN Eric - - - 2% 17% 50% 31%
14 LIPPMAN Sam - - 1% 12% 37% 41% 9%
15 OH Christopher 1% 9% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
16 ZHUO Henry - 4% 21% 39% 28% 7% -
17 NEICE William - 1% 11% 34% 38% 15% 1%
18 TOYOFUKU Ethan - 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
19 WESTPHAL David R. - - - 1% 12% 46% 41%
20 RAUTUREAU Arthur - - 4% 19% 38% 32% 7%
21 UYPECKCUAT Maximillian Trajan 2% 16% 42% 33% 7% -
22 SU Desmond 1% 11% 35% 38% 14% 1% -
23 SUNDSTROM Wren 5% 35% 40% 17% 3% - -
24 BEDWORTH Alistair 1% 11% 45% 38% 5% - -
25 WEI-NAVARRO Augustus 1% 12% 36% 37% 14% 1% -
26 HARRIS Julien - 3% 19% 40% 32% 6% -
27 SERBAN Joseph T. 5% 29% 45% 19% 2% -
28 HOLCOMB Alexander 12% 44% 34% 9% 1% -
29 ZHANG Raphael - 9% 42% 42% 6% - -
30 PARK Jayden 2% 17% 41% 31% 9% 1% -
31 SKYWARK Andrew - 6% 23% 37% 27% 8% 1%
32 VALENTINE Iain - 4% 23% 47% 23% 3%
33 TANG Julian - - - 1% 10% 50% 40%
34 CHANG Joseph 48% 40% 10% 1% - -
35 HO Christopher 1% 42% 42% 14% 2% - -
36 CRAIG Whitman - 11% 38% 37% 12% 1% -
37 LU Chang 8% 41% 37% 12% 2% - -
38 GARDNER William 3% 25% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
39 SU Preston 14% 46% 32% 7% - -
40 WALLACE Alexander 53% 38% 8% 1% - -
41 NICHOLSON John 46% 45% 9% - - - -
42 KLEIN Johannes 1% 15% 41% 35% 7% -
43 HOLCOMB Michael 66% 29% 5% - - - -
43 QIU Yiran 71% 26% 3% - - - -
45 BRETZ Levi 64% 31% 5% - - - -
46 TSENG Kai 31% 52% 15% 1% - - -
47 SERBAN Aaron 97% 3% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.