Leon Auriol Open

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
2 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
3 LI Samuel 100% 100% 99% 85% 48% 10% 1%
3 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
5 RAUTUREAU Hugo 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 41%
6 HARROCH Faustin 100% 100% 95% 68% 26% 4% < 1%
7 KIM Harrison 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 25%
8 SPROWLES Cameron D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 50%
9 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 33%
10 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 50% 4%
11 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 91% 43% 4%
12 WU Alistair 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 32%
13 MIN Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 31%
14 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50% 9%
15 OH Christopher 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
16 ZHUO Henry 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7% -
17 NEICE William 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 16% 1%
18 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% -
19 WESTPHAL David R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 41%
20 RAUTUREAU Arthur 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 7%
21 UYPECKCUAT Maximillian Trajan 100% 98% 82% 41% 7% -
22 SU Desmond 100% 99% 89% 54% 16% 1% -
23 SUNDSTROM Wren 100% 95% 60% 20% 3% - -
24 BEDWORTH Alistair 100% 99% 88% 43% 5% - -
25 WEI-NAVARRO Augustus 100% 99% 88% 52% 15% 1% -
26 HARRIS Julien 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 6% -
27 SERBAN Joseph T. 100% 95% 66% 21% 3% -
28 HOLCOMB Alexander 100% 88% 44% 10% 1% -
29 ZHANG Raphael 100% 100% 91% 49% 7% - -
30 PARK Jayden 100% 98% 82% 40% 10% 1% -
31 SKYWARK Andrew 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
32 VALENTINE Iain 100% 100% 96% 72% 26% 3%
33 TANG Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 40%
34 CHANG Joseph 100% 52% 11% 1% - -
35 HO Christopher 100% 99% 57% 15% 2% - -
36 CRAIG Whitman 100% 100% 89% 50% 14% 1% -
37 LU Chang 100% 92% 51% 14% 2% - -
38 GARDNER William 100% 97% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
39 SU Preston 100% 86% 40% 7% - -
40 WALLACE Alexander 100% 47% 9% 1% - -
41 NICHOLSON John 100% 54% 9% - - - -
42 KLEIN Johannes 100% 99% 84% 43% 8% -
43 HOLCOMB Michael 100% 34% 5% - - - -
43 QIU Yiran 100% 29% 3% - - - -
45 BRETZ Levi 100% 36% 5% - - - -
46 TSENG Kai 100% 69% 17% 1% - - -
47 SERBAN Aaron 100% 3% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.