Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AYDOGDU Hakan - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
2 WANG Alex - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
3 VEDRE Neil - - 3% 14% 31% 36% 16%
3 LI Cooper - 1% 6% 27% 44% 23%
5 KARAVAS Nicholas - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
6 CIEMINS Henry - - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
7 WEI William - 1% 9% 33% 41% 16%
8 EKONG-REID Severian - 6% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2%
9 LIU Ryan 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
10 ZHANG Ray - - 5% 23% 40% 27% 6%
11 ZHANG Simon 8% 26% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
12 JAIDEVA Aakash 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
13 ORTHMANN Tristin - 5% 20% 38% 30% 8%
14 ZONG Yujie - - 1% 10% 34% 40% 14%
15 JARAMILLO Juan 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
16 CHENG Brandon - < 1% 2% 11% 28% 38% 21%
17 ZHENG Lucas 2% 12% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
18 LIN Alex 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
19 RAJMOHAN Arya - 8% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
20 HELD Lev 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
21 COUNTS Nicholas - 1% 9% 34% 40% 15%
22 HAUSLER Jayden - 6% 32% 41% 18% 3% -
23 BHASKAR Dhananjay K. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
24 BANSAL Krishiv - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
25 MARCELLINO Robert 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
26 LOSQUADRO Joseph 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1%
27 DZIALO George A. - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
28 SAYAR Luke 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 7% 1%
29 MATTINGLY Ian 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
30 STEWART Samuel 16% 40% 33% 10% 1% -
31 TSAO Alister 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 9% 1%
32 MITCHELL Eric A. 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
33 BONURA Brandon - 3% 24% 41% 25% 6% 1%
34 LEE Korbon 16% 41% 33% 9% 1% -
35 MARTINEZ Luke 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
36 NIEBERGALL Jaxson 1% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
37 PODDAR Shameek 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
38 BABIGIAN Jason - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
39 JAIN Karanvir - 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
40 DY Azriel 24% 57% 18% 2% - - -
41 EASLEY Dallas 12% 32% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
42 HOUSER Johnathan 19% 37% 29% 12% 3% - -
43 THORPE Owen 22% 45% 28% 5% - -
44 CADET Mathias 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
45 RIOS Alexander 58% 37% 5% - - - -
46 BERGHAUSER Zachary 71% 25% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.