Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AYDOGDU Hakan 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
2 WANG Alex 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
3 VEDRE Neil 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 51% 16%
3 LI Cooper 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 23%
5 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
6 CIEMINS Henry 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
7 WEI William 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 16%
8 EKONG-REID Severian 100% 100% 94% 73% 40% 12% 2%
9 LIU Ryan 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
10 ZHANG Ray 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 6%
11 ZHANG Simon 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
12 JAIDEVA Aakash 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
13 ORTHMANN Tristin 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
14 ZONG Yujie 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 14%
15 JARAMILLO Juan 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
16 CHENG Brandon 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21%
17 ZHENG Lucas 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
18 LIN Alex 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 13% 2%
19 RAJMOHAN Arya 100% 100% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1%
20 HELD Lev 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
21 COUNTS Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
22 HAUSLER Jayden 100% 100% 94% 63% 22% 3% -
23 BHASKAR Dhananjay K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
24 BANSAL Krishiv 100% 100% 97% 81% 50% 18% 3%
25 MARCELLINO Robert 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
26 LOSQUADRO Joseph 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1%
27 DZIALO George A. 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
28 SAYAR Luke 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
29 MATTINGLY Ian 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
30 STEWART Samuel 100% 84% 44% 11% 1% -
31 TSAO Alister 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
32 MITCHELL Eric A. 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 5% -
33 BONURA Brandon 100% 100% 97% 73% 32% 7% 1%
34 LEE Korbon 100% 84% 43% 10% 1% -
35 MARTINEZ Luke 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
36 NIEBERGALL Jaxson 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
37 PODDAR Shameek 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
38 BABIGIAN Jason 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
39 JAIN Karanvir 100% 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1%
40 DY Azriel 100% 76% 20% 2% - - -
41 EASLEY Dallas 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
42 HOUSER Johnathan 100% 81% 45% 15% 3% - -
43 THORPE Owen 100% 78% 34% 6% - -
44 CADET Mathias 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
45 RIOS Alexander 100% 42% 5% - - - -
46 BERGHAUSER Zachary 100% 29% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.