Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Junior Women's Épée

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 QI Julieanne 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
2 BECKMAN Ana 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
3 FURMAN Maria 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
3 LEE Claire 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
5 WONG Sydney 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
6 LIANG Jingjing 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
7 PRESMAN Aerin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
8 CHEN Alina 100% 100% 97% 79% 36% 3%
9 BISONO Valentina 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
10 LI Caroline 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 55% 18%
11 MENG YIFAN 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
12 ZHONG Evelyn 100% 94% 62% 22% 3%
13 YANAGIDA Coco 100% 81% 40% 11% 2% - -
14 GOLIYAD Lisa 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
15 LOBANOVA Varvara 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
16 ZHENG Erin 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
17 JIANG Chenxi 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% < 1%
18 BURROWS Beatrice 100% 97% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
19 WILLIAMSON Beatrix 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 3%
20 KAUR Manroop 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
21 SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
22 SHETH Anayaà 100% 96% 74% 30% 5% -
23 LI Alice 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 37% 6%
25 KAKANI Aditi 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 10% 1%
26 ALLIEVI Simone 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
27 ADYANTHAYA Anika 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
28 NGUYEN Celena 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
29 KAMENSKY Elina 100% 99% 86% 48% 15% 2% -
30 ALVAREZ Martine 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
31 BARMAN Willa 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
32 LEVKOV Maita 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
33 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 100% 100% 94% 69% 25%
34 XIAO Katelyn 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
35 CHERNOBRIVETS Maria 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
36 LI Yixin Catherine 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
38 STERN Savannah 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
39 LAW Mila 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 1%
40 CHEN Allison 100% 87% 51% 18% 4% - -
41 ZHU Una 100% 97% 73% 31% 5%
42 CHAKRAPANI Tara 100% 69% 23% 3% - -
43 SHIN Jamie 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
44 LI Xier 100% 98% 81% 43% 10% 1%
45 YAN Ximei (Alicia) 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% -
46 SONKU Mira 100% 97% 63% 22% 4% - -
47 TIAN Victoria 100% 97% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
48 COLELLA Lauren 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
49 GARCIA Aly 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
50 DING Iris Siyue 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
51 IVANOV Angela-Sophie 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
52 HOWARD Katherine 100% 86% 46% 13% 1% -
53 NING Miranda 100% 99% 92% 61% 19%
54 VENKATESAN Harshitha 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1%
55 JAISON Carol 100% 17% 1% - - - -
56 BEJUGAMA Lasya 100% 73% 27% 4% - -
57 YU Eva 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
57 TOBY kaja 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
59 MONITTO Malina 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3% -
60 HOAGLAND Sally 100% 100% 96% 76% 31% 3%
61 YAO Chloe 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
62 MILLER Cassandra 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
63 PETRIZZO Anna 100% 44% 8% 1% -
64 LEUNG Sydney 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
65 BI Michelle 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
66 LEUNG Morgan 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
67 PAREKH Riana 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.