Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ISAYENKO Daniel - - - 1% 12% 41% 46%
2 LEVY Daniel - - 3% 16% 38% 37% 7%
3 SHAPIRO Leo - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
3 LIM JUWANA Maximilian - - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
5 PARK Sean - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
6 ALUF William - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
7 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW - 1% 9% 28% 39% 21% 2%
8 TERENTIEV Michael - - 1% 9% 30% 42% 18%
9 LEE Shane Gunn - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 9%
10 NARAYAN Rishi - 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 6%
11 HAHN EVER - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
12 MOGUNOV Alan 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
13 CHEN Ryan - 1% 8% 27% 39% 21% 4%
14 MOTOV Max - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
15 O'KEEFE Brody - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
16 WANG Russell - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
17 ARUN Viyaan - 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 3%
18 MARTIRE Francis 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
19 LI Anton 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
20 LLOYD Max - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 15%
21 PARK Layne - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
22 LEE Aiden - 3% 19% 43% 29% 5% -
23 BORNHOLZ Lawrence 12% 33% 35% 16% 4% - -
24 PATEL Rohan - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
25 HU Simon - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
26 CHEN Brian 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
27 SABINO Bennett - 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
28 FAZELINIA Erfaan 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 9% 1%
29 KRISHNARASA Aiyann - 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 3%
30 RISMAN Edward 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
31 BROOKS Grant 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
32 HUANG KIMBALL 25% 41% 25% 8% 1% - -
33 TO Aiden - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
34 ZHANG Mark 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
35 IP Hunter - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
36 SHAH Ayaan - - 2% 13% 36% 37% 11%
37 WONG Jacob 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
38 KATZ Isaac 16% 36% 31% 14% 3% - -
39 ZHANG Howard - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
40 LEIGH Anthony 6% 28% 39% 21% 5% 1% -
41 WANG Harrison 1% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% 1%
42 FERNAINE Thomas 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
43 ZHANG Leon - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
44 EASLEY Braddock - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 16%
45 TIAN Michael 25% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
46 SOLEJ Miles - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
47 ROBLES Rafael 3% 21% 41% 27% 7% 1% -
48 BLACK Bennett - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
49 ZHANG Leaf 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
50 LI Felix 36% 43% 18% 3% - - -
51 CHEN Tyler 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
52 KISHORE Rishaan 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
53 SOBOLEWSKI Isaac 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
54 KULJIEV Boyan 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
55 VITALE NIKO - 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
56 CHATTAWAY Nicholas 10% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
57 FUNG Emerson 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 3% -
58 XU Jayden 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
59 THEETHIRA Kevin-Cariappa 4% 20% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
59 LEE Weston 18% 44% 29% 8% 1% - -
61 SWAMIDOSS Andrew 1% 6% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1%
62 GU Gordon 11% 38% 36% 13% 2% - -
63 KIM Colin 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
64 COBEY James 1% 7% 27% 40% 21% 4% -
65 UPBIN Matthew 37% 43% 17% 3% - - -
66 PALERMO Evan 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
67 OLSON Prescott 52% 36% 10% 1% - - -
68 LEE Lucas 1% 10% 35% 38% 14% 2% -
69 GOLDBERG Wyatt 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
69 IP Ethan 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.