Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
2 LEVY Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 7%
3 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
3 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
5 PARK Sean 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
6 ALUF William 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
7 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 2%
8 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 18%
9 LEE Shane Gunn 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 9%
10 NARAYAN Rishi 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
11 HAHN EVER 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
12 MOGUNOV Alan 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
13 CHEN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 4%
14 MOTOV Max 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
15 O'KEEFE Brody 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
16 WANG Russell 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
17 ARUN Viyaan 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
18 MARTIRE Francis 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
19 LI Anton 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
20 LLOYD Max 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
21 PARK Layne 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
22 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 97% 78% 35% 5% -
23 BORNHOLZ Lawrence 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
24 PATEL Rohan 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
25 HU Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 41%
26 CHEN Brian 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
27 SABINO Bennett 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
28 FAZELINIA Erfaan 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
29 KRISHNARASA Aiyann 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
30 RISMAN Edward 100% 94% 69% 32% 9% 1% -
31 BROOKS Grant 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
32 HUANG KIMBALL 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
33 TO Aiden 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
34 ZHANG Mark 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
35 IP Hunter 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
36 SHAH Ayaan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 11%
37 WONG Jacob 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
38 KATZ Isaac 100% 84% 49% 17% 3% - -
39 ZHANG Howard 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
40 LEIGH Anthony 100% 94% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
41 WANG Harrison 100% 99% 87% 57% 24% 6% 1%
42 FERNAINE Thomas 100% 91% 60% 24% 6% 1% -
43 ZHANG Leon 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
44 EASLEY Braddock 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
45 TIAN Michael 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
46 SOLEJ Miles 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
47 ROBLES Rafael 100% 97% 76% 35% 8% 1% -
48 BLACK Bennett 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 3%
49 ZHANG Leaf 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
50 LI Felix 100% 64% 21% 4% - - -
51 CHEN Tyler 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
52 KISHORE Rishaan 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
53 SOBOLEWSKI Isaac 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
54 KULJIEV Boyan 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
55 VITALE NIKO 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
56 CHATTAWAY Nicholas 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% - -
57 FUNG Emerson 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
58 XU Jayden 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
59 THEETHIRA Kevin-Cariappa 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
59 LEE Weston 100% 82% 39% 10% 1% - -
61 SWAMIDOSS Andrew 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
62 GU Gordon 100% 89% 51% 14% 2% - -
63 KIM Colin 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
64 COBEY James 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 5% -
65 UPBIN Matthew 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
66 PALERMO Evan 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
67 OLSON Prescott 100% 48% 12% 2% - - -
68 LEE Lucas 100% 99% 89% 55% 16% 2% -
69 GOLDBERG Wyatt 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
69 IP Ethan 100% 80% 39% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.