Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG DINA C. - - 1% 8% 42% 50%
2 LI Savannah - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
3 MURPHY Genevieve - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 3%
3 KRAHE Annika - - 1% 10% 41% 48%
5 LI Christina - - 2% 16% 45% 36%
6 XING Melly - - - 4% 23% 47% 26%
7 SHIN Elizabeth - - 1% 10% 39% 49%
8 CHUNG Stella - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
9 JOO Sara - - - - 6% 35% 59%
10 SFINTESCU Emma - - 2% 10% 31% 40% 17%
11 ZHU Alivia - - 1% 8% 35% 45% 11%
12 DE CASTRO Kai - - 3% 20% 52% 25%
13 ORRINGER Lottie - - - 3% 16% 42% 40%
14 CHOI Cara - 2% 12% 33% 37% 14% 1%
15 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla - 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1%
16 BAULIN Zoya - 2% 11% 28% 36% 19% 3%
17 FEDER Acadia - 1% 7% 28% 42% 20% 3%
18 ZHILKOV Anya - - 2% 13% 36% 39% 10%
19 CHO Olivia - - 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
20 WANG Joann - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
21 LIN Katherine - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
22 ZHAO Olivia - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
23 LI Joy - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
25 LUO lucy - 1% 13% 39% 37% 9%
26 EPSTEIN Naomi - - 5% 24% 46% 24%
27 CHAN Kaitlyn 2% 22% 43% 28% 5% -
28 GOODMAN Carden - - 3% 18% 45% 29% 4%
29 VO Evelyn 2% 13% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
30 KIRBY Emelie 5% 29% 42% 21% 4% -
31 FAN Melody 5% 24% 40% 25% 5% -
32 YOUM Amelia 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5% -
33 ZHU Ella - 1% 7% 30% 46% 16%
34 XU-FERGUSON Victoria - 2% 19% 44% 30% 5%
35 DONG Katelyn 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
36 ROBERTS Anastasia - - - 3% 18% 46% 33%
37 MACKINTOSH Quinn 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
38 MCCLELLAN Florence 6% 36% 44% 13% 1% - -
39 BO Iris - 3% 16% 37% 34% 8%
40 KHETPAL Aalia - 7% 37% 40% 14% 1%
41 PAEK Mila 8% 33% 39% 18% 3% -
42 LIN Claire 1% 8% 27% 39% 21% 3%
43 TEE Cymbeline 10% 38% 36% 14% 2% - -
44 CHAN Jolene - - 4% 20% 39% 30% 7%
45 KAPUR Vanya 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
46 HEMPHILL Mia 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
47 KANDALAFT Emma 2% 16% 37% 34% 10% 1%
48 REILLY Carys 15% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
49 ELLISON Ingrid 2% 19% 42% 31% 6% -
50 LU Sophia 7% 35% 40% 15% 2% -
51 SHUTZER Lily 1% 8% 30% 42% 18% 2%
52 HUDSON Sophie 18% 42% 31% 8% 1% - -
52 ZHU Alicia 35% 44% 18% 3% - - -
54 DAVIS Gabriella 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
55 HUANG Gabrielle 1% 12% 35% 36% 13% 2% -
56 LIANG Jasmine 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
57 WU Charlotte 11% 34% 36% 15% 3% -
58 LIAW Audrey 16% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
59 GOMEZ Amelia 13% 62% 22% 3% - -
60 BALIN Sophia 4% 30% 43% 20% 2% -
61 OTTAVIANO Maris 1% 14% 37% 34% 12% 1% -
62 ZELDIN Nina 3% 21% 42% 28% 6% - -
63 KIM Lael 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
64 PAEK Ellie 12% 36% 34% 15% 3% - -
65 CLOUD Chrystie 19% 44% 29% 8% 1% - -
66 LOBO Sophie 64% 31% 5% - - -
67 MIN Claire 77% 22% 1% - - -
68 BENNETT Emi 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
69 MA Cloris 22% 44% 27% 6% 1% - -
69 HURD Alexandra 53% 38% 9% 1% - -
71 SEO Celine 51% 38% 9% 1% - - -
71 SICHEL-OUTCALT Margaret < 1% 8% 50% 37% 5% - -
73 PARK Addison 39% 42% 16% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.