Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG DINA C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 50%
2 LI Savannah 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
3 MURPHY Genevieve 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
3 KRAHE Annika 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
5 LI Christina 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 36%
6 XING Melly 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 26%
7 SHIN Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
8 CHUNG Stella 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
9 JOO Sara 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 59%
10 SFINTESCU Emma 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 17%
11 ZHU Alivia 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57% 11%
12 DE CASTRO Kai 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 25%
13 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
14 CHOI Cara 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 1%
15 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 11% 1%
16 BAULIN Zoya 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
17 FEDER Acadia 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22% 3%
18 ZHILKOV Anya 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 10%
19 CHO Olivia 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
20 WANG Joann 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
21 LIN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
22 ZHAO Olivia 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
23 LI Joy 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
25 LUO lucy 100% 100% 99% 86% 46% 9%
26 EPSTEIN Naomi 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 24%
27 CHAN Kaitlyn 100% 98% 75% 33% 5% -
28 GOODMAN Carden 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34% 4%
29 VO Evelyn 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2% -
30 KIRBY Emelie 100% 95% 66% 25% 4% -
31 FAN Melody 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% -
32 YOUM Amelia 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
33 ZHU Ella 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 16%
34 XU-FERGUSON Victoria 100% 100% 98% 79% 35% 5%
35 DONG Katelyn 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
36 ROBERTS Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 33%
37 MACKINTOSH Quinn 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
38 MCCLELLAN Florence 100% 94% 58% 14% 1% - -
39 BO Iris 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 8%
40 KHETPAL Aalia 100% 100% 93% 56% 16% 1%
41 PAEK Mila 100% 92% 59% 21% 3% -
42 LIN Claire 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 3%
43 TEE Cymbeline 100% 90% 52% 15% 2% - -
44 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
45 KAPUR Vanya 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
46 HEMPHILL Mia 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
47 KANDALAFT Emma 100% 98% 82% 45% 11% 1%
48 REILLY Carys 100% 85% 48% 14% 2% -
49 ELLISON Ingrid 100% 98% 79% 37% 6% -
50 LU Sophia 100% 93% 58% 18% 2% -
51 SHUTZER Lily 100% 99% 92% 62% 20% 2%
52 HUDSON Sophie 100% 82% 40% 9% 1% - -
52 ZHU Alicia 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
54 DAVIS Gabriella 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
55 HUANG Gabrielle 100% 99% 87% 51% 15% 2% -
56 LIANG Jasmine 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
57 WU Charlotte 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
58 LIAW Audrey 100% 84% 46% 13% 2% -
59 GOMEZ Amelia 100% 87% 25% 3% - -
60 BALIN Sophia 100% 96% 65% 22% 3% -
61 OTTAVIANO Maris 100% 99% 84% 47% 13% 1% -
62 ZELDIN Nina 100% 97% 76% 34% 6% - -
63 KIM Lael 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
64 PAEK Ellie 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
65 CLOUD Chrystie 100% 81% 37% 9% 1% - -
66 LOBO Sophie 100% 36% 5% - - -
67 MIN Claire 100% 23% 1% - - -
68 BENNETT Emi 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 2% -
69 MA Cloris 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% - -
69 HURD Alexandra 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
71 SEO Celine 100% 49% 10% 1% - - -
71 SICHEL-OUTCALT Margaret 100% 100% 92% 41% 5% - -
73 PARK Addison 100% 61% 19% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.