Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIN Liangxuan - - - - - 6% 94%
2 WAXLER Ryan - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
3 SASSI Ilyas - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
3 SRIVATS Vedh - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 31%
5 MEHAN Nicholas - - - - 3% 27% 70%
6 MCDONALD Finn - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 14%
7 WONG Mac - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
8 KIARA Kinoti - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 6%
9 WONG Max - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
10 DAI Zihou - - - 6% 29% 44% 21%
11 BARENBOYM Michael - 4% 15% 31% 31% 15% 3%
12 CIEMINS Henry - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 26%
13 KHANNA Adamantis - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
14 PORTER Dupree - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
15 WANG Theodore 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
16 ZHANG Shaoxuan - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
17 BELAND Riley James "RJ" - - - 5% 26% 45% 24%
18 SUH Leo - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
19 LAMTAN Christoffer - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
20 LAU Kyrus - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
21 ZHAO Royce - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
22 ZHANG Simon - 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
23 PARK Inwoo - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
24 MIAO Heqi - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 3%
25 WONG Reagan - 1% 6% 24% 41% 25% 3%
26 KARAVAS Nicholas - 1% 9% 24% 35% 24% 7%
26 ZWAKA Jonas - 1% 4% 17% 34% 32% 11%
26 WASCO Andrew - - 2% 15% 41% 40% 2%
29 HU Jayden - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
30 BIVIJI Adam 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% 1%
31 DE SIENA Salvatore - 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
32 SAYAR Luke 2% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
33 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary - - 1% 5% 22% 41% 31%
33 BAI Evan - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
35 RAJMOHAN Arya - 1% 6% 26% 41% 24% 3%
36 LIN Brendan - 3% 14% 29% 33% 17% 3%
37 ONG Dylan - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
38 BEAL Colton - 6% 25% 39% 25% 5%
39 SHAPIRO Simon - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
40 AROUNA Ilan - - 4% 17% 36% 34% 10%
41 LEVIN Jacob - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
42 DOSTAL Maximilian - 2% 11% 32% 41% 15% -
43 CHENG Sawyer - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
44 SONG Aidan - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
45 TASIKAS Peter 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 4%
46 KENNEDY Tomás 1% 15% 36% 34% 13% 1%
47 LIANG Morgan - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
48 SHEYNZON Benjamin - 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
49 LORENZ Evan - 3% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
50 LIU Ryan - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 12%
51 HE Nolan 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1% -
51 TSAO Alister 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
53 MATTOO Dhruv 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
54 WEI William - 4% 15% 31% 31% 16% 3%
55 CHANG Timothy 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
56 NAYAGAM Nishant 6% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
57 WELSTEAD Nicholas 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
58 GREENE Kevin 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
59 PEACE Sam 1% 15% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
60 STEWART Samuel 14% 41% 33% 11% 2% -
61 SONG Ryan 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
62 KUSHKOV Michael 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
63 PARROCO Andrew 13% 35% 35% 14% 2% - -
64 BENNETT Lachlan 5% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
65 MERMEGAS Alexander - - 1% 9% 36% 40% 13%
66 AVERY Marcus 2% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
67 TITOV Zachary 2% 13% 35% 34% 13% 2%
68 HAIRABEDIAN Ellis 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% - -
69 MENKEN Asher 3% 18% 38% 31% 9% 1% -
70 HELD Lev - 4% 20% 38% 29% 8% -
71 WU Vincent 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
72 YANG Byron 7% 31% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
73 SAGE Nikolai 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
74 KAPOOR Krish 5% 25% 41% 25% 4% - -
75 MEDVINSKY Daniel - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
76 MARTINSON Torm 1% 10% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
77 SO Morgan 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
78 BLUM Peter PJ 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
79 VISH Manyu 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
79 HOUPT Lucas 1% 12% 31% 33% 18% 4% -
81 HAUSLER Jayden - 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
82 DMYTRUK Alexander 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
83 MUKHERJEE Aryan 53% 36% 10% 1% - - -
84 CHIANG Ethan 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
85 WAXLER Alex 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
86 FOUX Jonathan 29% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
87 CONNOLLY Edward Bud 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
88 BROOKS Drake 6% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
89 ARCHIBALD Zachary 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% 1%
90 KULKARNI Ishir 13% 38% 35% 12% 1% - -
91 DAI Ethan 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% - -
92 SHAPIRO Leo 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
92 LEIGH Brayden 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
94 FREILICH Harrison 6% 30% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
95 EBRAHIMZADEH Jordan 16% 40% 33% 10% 1% - -
96 LEE Jeffrey 40% 42% 15% 2% - -
96 ZHIVICH Theo 69% 27% 4% - - -
98 ZHERENOVSKY Alan 44% 40% 13% 2% - - -
99 SOCHNIKOV Jacob 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
100 RINGEL Kian 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
101 TANJGA Luka 15% 37% 33% 12% 2% - -
102 VENKATESAN Akash 85% 14% 1% - - - -
103 BERGHAUSER Zachary 31% 44% 21% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.