Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIN Liangxuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94%
2 WAXLER Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
3 SASSI Ilyas 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
3 SRIVATS Vedh 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 31%
5 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
6 MCDONALD Finn 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14%
7 WONG Mac 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
8 KIARA Kinoti 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
9 WONG Max 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
10 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 21%
11 BARENBOYM Michael 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
12 CIEMINS Henry 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
13 KHANNA Adamantis 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
14 PORTER Dupree 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
15 WANG Theodore 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
16 ZHANG Shaoxuan 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
17 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 24%
18 SUH Leo 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
19 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
20 LAU Kyrus 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 16% 2%
21 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
22 ZHANG Simon 100% 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
23 PARK Inwoo 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7%
24 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
25 WONG Reagan 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28% 3%
26 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
26 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 11%
26 WASCO Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 41% 2%
29 HU Jayden 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
30 BIVIJI Adam 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
31 DE SIENA Salvatore 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
32 SAYAR Luke 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
33 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
33 BAI Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
35 RAJMOHAN Arya 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 3%
36 LIN Brendan 100% 100% 96% 83% 53% 21% 3%
37 ONG Dylan 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
38 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
39 SHAPIRO Simon 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
40 AROUNA Ilan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
41 LEVIN Jacob 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
42 DOSTAL Maximilian 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 15% -
43 CHENG Sawyer 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
44 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
45 TASIKAS Peter 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 4%
46 KENNEDY Tomás 100% 99% 84% 48% 14% 1%
47 LIANG Morgan 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
48 SHEYNZON Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%
49 LORENZ Evan 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
50 LIU Ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
51 HE Nolan 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1% -
51 TSAO Alister 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
53 MATTOO Dhruv 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
54 WEI William 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
55 CHANG Timothy 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 4% -
56 NAYAGAM Nishant 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
57 WELSTEAD Nicholas 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
58 GREENE Kevin 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
59 PEACE Sam 100% 99% 84% 49% 16% 3% -
60 STEWART Samuel 100% 86% 45% 12% 2% -
61 SONG Ryan 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
62 KUSHKOV Michael 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
63 PARROCO Andrew 100% 87% 52% 17% 2% - -
64 BENNETT Lachlan 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
65 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 13%
66 AVERY Marcus 100% 98% 76% 37% 9% 1%
67 TITOV Zachary 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 2%
68 HAIRABEDIAN Ellis 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% - -
69 MENKEN Asher 100% 97% 80% 41% 10% 1% -
70 HELD Lev 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 8% -
71 WU Vincent 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
72 YANG Byron 100% 93% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
73 SAGE Nikolai 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 3%
74 KAPOOR Krish 100% 95% 70% 30% 5% - -
75 MEDVINSKY Daniel 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 7%
76 MARTINSON Torm 100% 99% 89% 59% 25% 5% -
77 SO Morgan 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
78 BLUM Peter PJ 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
79 VISH Manyu 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
79 HOUPT Lucas 100% 99% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
81 HAUSLER Jayden 100% 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
82 DMYTRUK Alexander 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% - -
83 MUKHERJEE Aryan 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
84 CHIANG Ethan 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% 1%
85 WAXLER Alex 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
86 FOUX Jonathan 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
87 CONNOLLY Edward Bud 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
88 BROOKS Drake 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
89 ARCHIBALD Zachary 100% 98% 86% 56% 24% 6% 1%
90 KULKARNI Ishir 100% 87% 49% 14% 1% - -
91 DAI Ethan 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
92 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 96% 77% 45% 16% 3% -
92 LEIGH Brayden 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
94 FREILICH Harrison 100% 94% 64% 26% 5% 1% -
95 EBRAHIMZADEH Jordan 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% - -
96 LEE Jeffrey 100% 60% 18% 3% - -
96 ZHIVICH Theo 100% 31% 4% - - -
98 ZHERENOVSKY Alan 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
99 SOCHNIKOV Jacob 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
100 RINGEL Kian 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
101 TANJGA Luka 100% 85% 48% 14% 2% - -
102 VENKATESAN Akash 100% 15% 1% - - - -
103 BERGHAUSER Zachary 100% 69% 25% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.