Battle At The Beach ROC/RJCC

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, August 31, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Prime F. Osborn III Convention Center - Jacksonville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 YADAV Lakshya 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
2 HALL Noah 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
3 BALU Aedan 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
3 PAK Andrew 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% -
5 FANG Eason 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
6 GUREVICH Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
7 LIU Victor 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 9%
8 DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
9 HARRINGTON Connor 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 9%
10 RINALDI Savio 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
11 PARCELL Colby 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 5%
12 HUNG Samuel 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 11%
13 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
14 MCGUIRE Christian 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
15 YAO Zachary 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% -
16 XIA Matthew 100% 100% 93% 55% 15% 1%
17 LIN Patrick 100% 98% 84% 45% 12% 1%
18 TOSCANO Sebastian 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
19 HAYES David 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
20 GLEASON Sean 100% 100% 97% 75% 31% 4%
21 DUPREE Thomas 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
22 WASCO Andrew 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
23 MANNINO Miller 100% 95% 65% 26% 6% -
24 DULAY Peter 100% 65% 12% 1% - -
25 GUYDOUK Alexey 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5%
26 MOTTLAU Maddox 100% 95% 66% 25% 5% -
27 BRAMLETT Myer 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% -
28 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Juan Pablo 100% 75% 28% 5% - -
29 MARTIN Zak 100% 66% 24% 5% - -
30 RIVERA-HERNÁNDEZ Javier 100% 94% 65% 25% 5% -
31 WOLF Gabriel 100% 100% 92% 66% 29% 5%
32 TIMMONS Johnny 100% 54% 8% 1% - -
33 YADAV Ajay 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
34 BEAU DE ROCHARS Josh 100% 52% 12% 1% - -
35 MOSHER Kai 100% 64% 19% 3% - -
36 VAZQUEZ-PEREZ Yesh 100% 41% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.