Battle At The Beach ROC/RJCC

Div I-A Women's Épée

Sunday, August 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Prime F. Osborn III Convention Center - Jacksonville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WONG Caitlin 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
2 NGUYEN Audrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
3 CREMONA Viola Maria 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
3 ECHEVERRY Sofia 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
5 WANG Ziqiao (Claire) 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 9%
6 DASILVA Mia 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
7 WU Michelle 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
8 SILVA Hailey 100% 86% 39% 9% 1% - -
9 WALTER Anna 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
10 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
11 SKILLMAN Natalie 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 10%
12 LOZIER Grace 100% 99% 90% 58% 21% 4% -
13 PROKOP Jeannine A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
15 NOLAN Sophia 100% 74% 29% 6% - -
16 RAFFERTY Catherine 100% 99% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
17 MEMON Insha 100% 98% 80% 40% 9% 1%
18 COLLINS Hannah 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 2%
19 HILBY Olivia 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
20 PUIG Daniela 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 5% -
21 SHIN Jamie 100% 88% 50% 14% 2% - -
22 DUBROVINA Irene 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3%
23 HOUSMANS Emma 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% - -
24 PHAM Hailey 100% 76% 31% 6% 1% -
25 MOSCOSO SERRANO Andrea 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
26 CORONADO María Fernanda 100% 82% 41% 11% 2% - -
27 DAVIS Shanna 100% 85% 39% 9% 1% - -
28 PASCHEL Christie 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.