October NAC

Div I Women's Épée

Friday, October 3, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE REGINA 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
2 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
3 VERRET Alexanne 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83% 24%
3 CHO Minju 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
5 LOUIS-MARIE Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
6 CHIN Isabella 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
7 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 44%
8 LIU Charlene (Kai) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
9 LIN Jessica Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 18%
10 XUAN Nicole J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40%
11 XIAO Ruien 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
12 YOUNG VIVIAN 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6% < 1%
13 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
14 VAN BRUMMEN Anna C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
15 WATRALL Christina 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
16 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 7% -
17 OXENREIDER Tierna A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88%
18 FALLON Kyle R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
19 BECKMAN Ana 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
20 BOTVINNIK Yana 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 62%
21 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 5%
21 WANG Zoe 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 21% 3%
23 LEE Sumin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
24 YIN Julia 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
25 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
26 YANG Alisa 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 16%
27 STERR Isabella M. 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6% -
28 SWENSON Nikita G. 100% 99% 86% 44% 6%
29 SOBUS Yanka 100% 100% 95% 71% 28% 2%
30 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 100% 98% 85% 46% 9% 1%
31 WANG Karen 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
33 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 100% 100% 94% 60% 20% 2%
34 CHI Chelsea 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
35 KETKAR Ketki 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 54%
36 SHIV Avni 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 45% 12%
37 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8% -
38 DUBEAU Alexa 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
39 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
40 GORNOVSKY Abigail 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7% -
41 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
42 WONG Caitlin 100% 89% 55% 17% 1% -
43 YAO Melinda 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 16%
43 HAUSHEER Kuncen 100% 90% 56% 17% 1% -
45 BOS Valentina 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 43%
46 LISCUM Vivian 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4% -
47 PRESMAN Aerin 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
48 CAMPBELL Eva 100% 100% 94% 69% 26% 2%
49 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
50 JOYAL Anne-Sophie 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
51 WU Michelle 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
52 BALAZS Luca 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
53 YANG Seunghye 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9% 1%
54 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
54 PARK Hyeongeun 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
56 CAMAMA Tessa 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
57 CHEN Lefu 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 46% 5%
58 LEE Scarlett 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
59 HUREL Bertille 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 3%
60 LEE Claire 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
61 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 5%
62 TOBY Natalia R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%
63 KUNJAN Lena R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 11%
64 HANKINS Morgan 100% 100% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
65 BASRALIAN Azniv 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
66 PROFIS Liora 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 15%
67 ZIGALO Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
68 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
69 BEI Karen 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 21%
70 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 11%
71 QI Julieanne 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
72 KIM Dain 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
73 BEAVER Ava 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
75 RAKHOVSKI Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
76 NOVOJILOV Anastasia 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
77 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 3%
78 NEMETH Katherine 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 12% -
79 XU Yvette 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 12% 1%
80 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
81 AI Amy 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 8% 1%
82 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
83 DUNLAP-SMITH Azaline I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 90% 57% 16%
85 CHI Zoe 100% 75% 28% 5% < 1% - -
86 GUO Luxi 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 38% 6%
86 ZHUANG Lauren 100% 78% 38% 10% 2% - -
88 ZANGA Kaitlyn 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 3%
89 KIM Zoe L. 100% 100% 95% 68% 17% 1%
90 WANG Trinity 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
91 GEVA Eliana 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
91 YILMAZ Pinar 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
93 SCHULTZ Nomi 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
94 SPRINGER Sierra 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
95 MARTINEZ HANSEN Dayana C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 65%
96 MILEWSKI Nicole 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
96 WEBER Nora 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
98 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 15% 2%
99 LI Caroline 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
100 KUDRYAVTSEVA Margarita 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
100 CAVNAR Peyton 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 6% 1%
102 MCQUEEN Morgan 100% 84% 41% 9% 1% - -
103 SEREGIN Katya 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 3%
104 DING Jiahe (Heidi) 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 46% 10%
105 HONG Elaine 100% 100% 98% 85% 45% 9% 1%
106 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% -
107 LAI Amanda 100% 95% 73% 34% 7% - -
107 JIANG Serena 100% 85% 43% 8% - -
109 CHEN Zhengnan(Janet) 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
110 SUN Zeyu (Cathy) 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2% -
111 STOJAKOVIC Lola 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% - -
112 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
113 XU Sunia (Tai Yang) 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
114 XIAO Nancy 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
115 LONADIER Keira 100% 98% 82% 47% 13% 1%
116 FRANGER Macy 100% 98% 83% 38% 5%
117 MARTYNOVA Diana 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
118 WANG Sophie Y. 100% 94% 66% 25% 4% -
119 DOROSHKEVICH Victoria 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 29% 3%
120 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 99% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
121 FURMAN Maria 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
122 KANG Yenna 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -
122 WALTER Anna 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
124 WANG Ziqiao (Claire) 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
125 ILYAS Ayah 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
126 BRIDGE Rebekah 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4% -
127 KETKAR Mallika 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 3%
128 LEE Gloria Y. 100% 88% 45% 13% 2% - -
129 ABUELFUTUH Sama 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
130 GUAN Isabella 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
131 CARRIER Meredith 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 14% 1%
131 ELSTON Sophia 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11% 1%
133 WANG Chantal 100% 66% 17% 1% - - -
134 DHAIYA Tanya 100% 90% 58% 21% 3% - -
135 SUN Hanya 100% 96% 75% 38% 12% 2% -
136 KANASKAR Ila 100% 90% 54% 19% 3% - -
137 WELLS Tesla M. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 13% 1%
137 GOH Cayla 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
139 HOLDEN Helena 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
140 XIONG Angelica 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 2%
141 PRIHODKO Nina 100% 98% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
142 LI Olivia 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3% -
143 LEE Olivia 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11% -
144 NING Miranda 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
145 SU Evelyn 100% 89% 53% 17% 2% -
146 MISHIMA Audrey 100% 82% 43% 12% 1% -
147 HEPLER Sarah 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
148 RICHARDSON Meredith 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
149 AZMEH nour 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
150 HICKS Grace 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
151 MENDOZA zoie 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
152 NING Emma 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 15%
153 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle 100% 90% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
153 SONG Angela 100% 98% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
153 SUN Karolyn 100% 90% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
156 WANG Chloe 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
157 SAYAGUES Isabella 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
158 XU Jessica 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2% -
159 POTAPENKO Margarita D. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
159 BRAGG Leah 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
161 OLELE Ifechi 100% 85% 45% 11% 1% -
162 JEYOON Lauren 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
163 SALISTRA Emilia 100% 83% 39% 7% - -
164 MINOR Lindsey 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
165 LIANG Jingjing 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
166 GANSER Nicole 100% 83% 43% 10% - -
167 LEE Camilla 100% 90% 56% 18% 1% -
168 MERRIMAN Rie 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
169 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 43%
170 PETROFF Eva 100% 52% 11% 1% -
171 NEELAM Navya 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
172 PECK Maia A. 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
173 MA Sophie 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
174 WANG Jessie 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% - -
175 BUSH emma 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 6% 1%
176 HERNASA Anna 100% 92% 57% 16% 2% - -
177 SCHMITT Harper 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
178 BROWN Riley 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
179 MANDAP Svetlanna 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
179 NGUYEN Audrey 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 3% -
179 TAM Connie 100% 69% 20% 1% - - -
182 WU Jessica 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
183 CHOI Jaeeun 100% 85% 45% 12% 2% - -
184 GAO Judy 100% 98% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
184 WANG Victoria 100% 93% 57% 10% 1% - -
186 KAUR Manroop 100% 91% 60% 24% 6% 1% -
187 KALGAONKAR Arohi 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
188 BEATIE Isabella M. 100% 73% 30% 6% - - -
188 CHUANG Ramona 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
188 BOROTKO Katerina 100% 61% 21% 4% - - -
191 XU Serena 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
192 KUMAR Eva 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
193 SHEFFIELD Skye 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
194 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
195 MOLLINIER Angel 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
196 MELLES Anne-Mai 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
197 PHUKAN Indra 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 2% -
198 LIN Ariel 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3% -
199 EDWARDS Auprell 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
200 IYER Ishana 100% 71% 25% 3% - -
201 MYRAH Vivienne 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
201 MOHAN Riya 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
203 KOVALCHUK Erika S. 100% 66% 21% 3% - - -
204 MARTINEZ Christina 100% 81% 31% 5% -
205 ZHU Riley 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
206 LOZIER Grace 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
207 NGUYEN Ella 100% 80% 40% 10% 1% - -
208 FOMINA Polina 100% 63% 19% 2% - - -
210 NORCONK Claire R. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
211 SHU Youshan 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
211 SCHOR Elisabeth 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
213 HOAGLAND Sally 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.