October NAC

Junior Men's Saber

Friday, October 3, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ERMAKOV Semeon - - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
2 KIM Shaun M. - - - - 2% 22% 76%
3 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - - - - 3% 24% 73%
3 SHOMAN Noah - - 2% 14% 44% 40%
5 WON Taeyoung - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
6 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
7 MATTOO Deven - - 4% 20% 46% 26% 4%
8 OH Triton - - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
9 JOO Jeein - - - 1% 9% 35% 54%
10 LIM Sungmin - - - 3% 21% 47% 29%
11 LU Xinzhen - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
12 ZHAO Lucas - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
13 WANG Nicolas - - - - 5% 31% 63%
14 NAZLYMOV Andrei - - - - 6% 32% 62%
15 LEE Heeseong - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
16 ROBINSON William - - - 6% 30% 47% 16%
17 HOLZ Daniel - - - 1% 12% 46% 40%
18 MATTOO Surya - - 5% 20% 38% 30% 6%
19 LIM William J. - - - - 3% 26% 71%
20 TSE Aiden J - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
21 SANCHEZ Jacob - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
22 HWANG Jayden - - 3% 14% 34% 37% 11%
23 KIM ELIJAH - 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
24 BERRIO Carter E. - - - - 5% 29% 66%
25 NG Jonathan - 1% 10% 31% 39% 18%
26 HUANG Alex F. - - 3% 18% 47% 32%
27 KOVALEV Daniil N. - - 3% 17% 39% 34% 6%
28 JIN Liangxuan - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
29 MEHAN Nicholas - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
30 CHEONG Heonjun - - 2% 11% 34% 41% 12%
31 YANG Phillip 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
32 PINTO Marcus - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
33 LI Howard - - 2% 17% 48% 33%
34 YAO JINTAO - - - 5% 20% 42% 32%
35 ANTHONY Devyn V. - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
36 YE Eric - - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13%
37 KITSON Chase - 1% 30% 47% 19% 2% -
38 CHUNG Connor - 2% 10% 25% 35% 23% 5%
39 KWALWASSER Eric - - - 4% 23% 47% 24%
40 PI Alexander - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
40 HU Chris - - - 5% 29% 51% 14%
42 KIM Hakyeom - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 25%
43 QIU Nathan - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
44 LEE San - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 34%
45 MICLAUS Justin - - 1% 8% 38% 53%
46 SO Preston - 1% 10% 37% 42% 10%
47 BAE Jason I. - - - 3% 22% 54% 20%
48 KANG Matthew 1% 9% 25% 34% 24% 7% 1%
49 YOOK Isaac 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 9% 1%
50 POFF Kainoa - 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6%
51 PARK Minjun - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
52 SU Landon - - 2% 13% 33% 38% 14%
53 JANG Hwanyun - 3% 12% 29% 35% 18% 2%
54 DUNCAN Adlai - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
55 IYER Neil 4% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
56 KIM seoha - 2% 14% 34% 36% 13%
57 YAO JINCHENG - - - 5% 21% 43% 30%
58 ANAND Rishab 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
59 KIM Ethan - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
60 MINASIAN Mason 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
61 CAO Oliver 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
62 KUSHKOV Daniel - 1% 7% 30% 45% 18%
63 LI Ayden 1% 9% 29% 37% 19% 4% -
64 LUAN Mark 1% 9% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
65 GUFFEY Christopher - - - 5% 23% 44% 28%
66 WANG ANDREW CHANG - - 2% 11% 34% 41% 12%
67 CAO Donald 2% 14% 36% 34% 13% 2% < 1%
68 LEE Yeongung - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
69 LIN Daniel - - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
70 PATEL Rayn - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 10%
71 WANG Samuel - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
72 HJERPE Wade H. - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
73 SHIPITSIN Alexander - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
74 CHOW William T. - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
74 BIVIJI Ali - 2% 13% 30% 35% 17% 3%
74 STURGEON Cole - 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 2%
77 PASTORE LIU Vince - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
78 PRIMUS Nazir - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
79 CARRINGTON IV William T. - 7% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
80 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) - 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 4%
81 KO Zuriel 2% 17% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
82 GANASCIA-LIN Guillaume - - 2% 13% 31% 37% 16%
83 LIN Maxim - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
84 LAUB William - 6% 23% 38% 26% 7%
85 WANG Jerry 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
86 VAID Luke - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
87 ZHANG Kaixuan 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
88 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. - 2% 12% 31% 36% 16% 2%
89 LIN Grant 1% 7% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
90 KILARI Krish - - 4% 20% 39% 30% 5%
91 KANG Evan R. - 3% 14% 33% 34% 15% 1%
92 ANAND Rohan - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
93 SRIVATS Vedh 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
94 VEDRE Neil 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
95 HOLZ Lucas - 2% 10% 28% 37% 21% 3%
96 RAMANAN Jaisimh - 1% 5% 22% 40% 26% 6%
96 WONG Lucas - 2% 14% 36% 36% 11% 1%
98 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. - 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 4%
98 GONZALEZ Jake - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12%
98 LEE Brian 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% 1%
101 ANDRES Michael - 4% 20% 38% 29% 8% 1%
101 WEI Rian - 2% 10% 30% 39% 18% 2%
103 GREMILLION Obadiah - 5% 18% 33% 30% 13% 1%
104 LIU Kevin - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
105 KATZ Ryan - 5% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
106 GONG Gavin 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
107 LUC Cedric 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
108 SUN George - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
109 MEYERSON Jacob - 3% 18% 44% 30% 5%
110 MUNGUIA Nathan - 7% 26% 38% 24% 5%
111 YAN William - 3% 18% 36% 32% 11%
112 LIU Victor 6% 27% 41% 22% 4% -
113 WANG Junyu - 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
114 TAO Jeffrey - - 2% 11% 31% 41% 15%
115 LEE William Nigel 9% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1% -
116 KANG Evan - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
117 CHAN Henry 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% 1% -
118 GREENSTEIN Viktor 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 6% 1%
119 SANGSTER Arden 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
120 CHEN Jonathan 2% 24% 40% 26% 8% 1%
121 LUHAN Zachary - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
121 TANI Tino 1% 6% 24% 38% 24% 6% 1%
123 PEREIRA Beckham 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
124 BOLLU Viren 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
125 ZHOU William - 4% 20% 36% 30% 10% 1%
126 BAI Evan 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
127 BROENING-CHAI Jonas 3% 24% 43% 24% 5% -
128 AYDOGDU Hakan - 8% 30% 39% 18% 3% -
129 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu - - 2% 9% 26% 39% 24%
130 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) - - 3% 17% 39% 34% 6%
131 REN James - - - 6% 30% 47% 16%
132 LEE Noah - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
133 CRICOL Damian - 3% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
134 TIAGI Daniel - 5% 24% 43% 24% 4%
135 LI Yiwei - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 9%
136 IM Tyler 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
137 LEE Andrew - 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 5%
138 CAI Jeff - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
139 MCDONALD Finn 1% 15% 39% 33% 11% 1% -
140 LIN Philip T. - 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 2%
141 LIU Ethan 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
142 DEPEW Spencer - - 2% 9% 29% 41% 19%
143 MAKLIN Edward P. - - 3% 16% 38% 34% 10%
144 SASSI Ilyas 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
145 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) - 2% 12% 33% 36% 15% 1%
146 OH Aster - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 3%
147 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
148 ZHENG LEON 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
149 WANG Justin - 1% 9% 27% 38% 21% 4%
150 WONG David 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
151 BURKE Sam 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
152 EKAMBARAM Nikhil 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
153 SHANKWILER Christopher 3% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1%
154 WAXLER Ryan 1% 8% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
154 CHAMBERS Miles - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16% 2%
156 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
156 RAMANAN Govind - - 4% 17% 36% 34% 9%
158 NAMBIAR Navin 10% 37% 36% 15% 3% - -
158 LIU Leyi - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% -
160 LIU Aaron 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
161 TENG MATTHEW - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 20%
162 HENDERSON Lucas - 2% 14% 32% 35% 15% 1%
163 FALCON-KORB Mathis - 2% 12% 30% 35% 19% 4%
164 GONG Jerry - 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
165 LINCOURT Arthur - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
166 ZHAO Royce 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
166 AO Christopher - 6% 23% 38% 26% 7% -
168 COBIAN Richard 6% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
169 KIM Kendrick - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
169 LIN Felix - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
169 CHEN Samuel - 1% 5% 22% 39% 27% 6%
172 SUBA Lucas - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
173 VO Landon 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
174 KOVACHEV Martin 4% 23% 40% 26% 6% 1% -
175 CHAN Elliott 2% 16% 37% 32% 11% 2% -
176 HUNG Samuel - 3% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
176 CHON Collin - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
176 WANG Daniel - - 2% 16% 39% 34% 9%
179 SADHU Neiyam - 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
180 CIEMINS Henry - 6% 24% 36% 26% 7% -
180 KOTVALI Aneesh 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
180 WANG Max 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
183 COPP Max 20% 44% 27% 7% 1% - -
184 LUCAS William 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
185 WANG Tiger 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
186 KANIA Alexander 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
187 MATTOO Dhruv 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
188 HO Anson 3% 30% 39% 21% 6% 1% -
189 YANG Harvey 15% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
190 KALPATHY Rohit - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8%
191 FIROOZI Sam 28% 48% 21% 3% - -
192 RINALDI Savio 4% 23% 45% 24% 4% -
193 GONG Alex 2% 14% 36% 36% 11% 1%
194 DAI Zihou 12% 43% 35% 9% 1% -
195 SUN Andrew 7% 32% 38% 18% 4% -
196 PORTER Dupree - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
197 NGO Maximus - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
198 LI Yidong A. 3% 24% 40% 26% 7% 1% -
199 ATWOOD Griffin 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
200 JOUFFLINEAU Yohann 5% 32% 39% 19% 4% - -
201 BIAN Hongyu - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
202 FENG Brendan 1% 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
203 CHO RYAN 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
204 SAGE Sebastian - 2% 32% 44% 19% 3% -
204 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 1% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
206 CONTRACTOR Cyrus - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19% 2%
207 CRAIN Bennett 6% 23% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
207 SU Kingston 2% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
209 CHEN Cooper 5% 32% 39% 19% 5% - -
209 AGARWAAL Yohan 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
211 BROWN Andrew 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
211 PARK Inwoo 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
213 WANG Edward 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
214 KIARA Kinoti 7% 40% 38% 13% 2% - -
214 LUC Linkin 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
216 KIM Enoch 78% 20% 2% - - - -
217 SUN Andy 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
218 BERKOWITZ Gavin 15% 38% 32% 13% 3% - -
219 CRAWFORD William 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
220 KOZLOFF Wyatt 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
221 RAJMOHAN Arya 17% 51% 26% 5% 1% - -
222 PANG Aidan 1% 7% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
223 AUTREY Adrien 12% 35% 34% 15% 4% - -
224 VALENCIA Jose 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
224 TOSCANO Sebastian 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
224 KAVZAN Toprak 9% 33% 36% 18% 4% - -
227 YADAV Lakshya 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 2% -
227 SONG Aidan 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
227 BALU Aedan 4% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
230 EYBELMAN Ariel - 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
230 AROUNA Ilan 10% 35% 35% 16% 3% - -
232 TARIGHI kasra 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3% -
233 LIU Marvin 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
234 CAUTHRON Oliver 53% 38% 8% 1% - -
235 QIN toby 47% 39% 12% 2% - -
236 LIU Yijin 21% 43% 29% 7% 1% -
237 ALAVE Kyle 1% 10% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
237 WARD Carter 53% 45% 3% - - - -
239 LEE Brady 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
240 YOON Sungjun 1% 10% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
241 TSAO Alister 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
242 YANG Dylan - 3% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1%
242 XUE Leo 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
242 HWANG Hagan 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
245 UEMOTO Ken - 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
245 WANG HongXi 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
247 NGO Emerson 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
247 LIU Daniel 33% 45% 19% 3% - - -
249 GORDON Ezekiel 73% 24% 3% - - - -
250 SEELMAN Cole 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
251 LAZARTE Gabriel 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
252 HALL Noah 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
253 RADJABLI Maximillian - 5% 20% 35% 28% 9% 1%
254 XIA Matthew 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
255 CHI Everett 6% 33% 38% 18% 4% - -
256 TANG Morgan 10% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
256 LIU Guanyu 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
258 NARDINI Nathanael P. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
259 LEVIN Jacob 21% 45% 27% 7% 1% - -
260 ROSALES Vincent 6% 29% 40% 21% 4% - -
261 FANG Eason 5% 23% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
261 WELSTEAD Nicholas 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
261 PADANILAM Thomas 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
264 WONG Caleb W. 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
265 LI Coby 13% 37% 35% 14% 2% - -
266 KEMP Austin 46% 40% 12% 2% - - -
267 HERNANDEZ Stanton - 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
267 TURNER Benjamin 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
269 LIU ERIC 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
270 KHOTLINE Daniel 4% 27% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
271 TSAO Oliver 2% 13% 34% 34% 14% 3% -
272 LEE Brandon 9% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
272 WANG Zixin 2% 15% 33% 31% 15% 3% -
274 WANG Theodore 33% 44% 19% 4% - - -
275 BOSITA Brennan 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% -
276 TIAGI George 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
277 REHM Liam 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
278 ONG Dylan 3% 18% 37% 30% 11% 1% -
278 YAO Zachary 59% 36% 5% - - - -
278 HU Harry Jiming 31% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
278 KULKARNI Shreyas 68% 28% 4% - - - -
282 HE Zhikai (kyle) 34% 47% 17% 2% - -
282 KAMURA Kosei 79% 19% 2% - - -
284 WOSTER Matthew (Mateo) 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
284 BEKDJANOV Arthur 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
284 VISH Manyu 67% 29% 4% - - - -
287 PARKILA Lukas 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
287 VALENTINE Rhys 60% 33% 7% 1% - - -
287 ROBINSON Ezra 71% 26% 3% - - - -
287 ZWAKA Jonas 7% 25% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
287 FOSTY Jasper 42% 41% 15% 3% - - -
292 BRUSHABER Colin 45% 41% 12% 2% - - -
292 HERRERA Stefano 63% 31% 5% - - - -
292 KURIYAMA Marcus 68% 28% 4% - - - -
295 JARAMILLO Juan 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
296 XIA Daniel 40% 55% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.