October NAC

Junior Men's Saber

Friday, October 3, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
2 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
3 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
3 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
5 WON Taeyoung 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
6 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
7 MATTOO Deven 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 30% 4%
8 OH Triton 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
9 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
10 LIM Sungmin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 29%
11 LU Xinzhen 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
12 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
13 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
14 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
15 LEE Heeseong 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
16 ROBINSON William 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63% 16%
17 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 40%
18 MATTOO Surya 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 6%
19 LIM William J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
20 TSE Aiden J 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
21 SANCHEZ Jacob 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
22 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 48% 11%
23 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
24 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
25 NG Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
26 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 32%
27 KOVALEV Daniil N. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 6%
28 JIN Liangxuan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
29 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
30 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 12%
31 YANG Phillip 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 2%
32 PINTO Marcus 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
33 LI Howard 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 33%
34 YAO JINTAO 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
35 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
36 YE Eric 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
37 KITSON Chase 100% 100% 99% 68% 21% 2% -
38 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 5%
39 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 24%
40 PI Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
40 HU Chris 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65% 14%
42 KIM Hakyeom 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 25%
43 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
44 LEE San 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
45 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
46 SO Preston 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 10%
47 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 20%
48 KANG Matthew 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
49 YOOK Isaac 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
50 POFF Kainoa 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
51 PARK Minjun 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 45% 12%
52 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
53 JANG Hwanyun 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 20% 2%
54 DUNCAN Adlai 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 1%
55 IYER Neil 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
56 KIM seoha 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
57 YAO JINCHENG 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
58 ANAND Rishab 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
59 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
60 MINASIAN Mason 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
61 CAO Oliver 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 11% 1%
62 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 18%
63 LI Ayden 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
64 LUAN Mark 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
65 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
66 WANG ANDREW CHANG 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 12%
67 CAO Donald 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2% < 1%
68 LEE Yeongung 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
69 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
70 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
71 WANG Samuel 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
72 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
73 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
74 CHOW William T. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
74 BIVIJI Ali 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 19% 3%
74 STURGEON Cole 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 2%
77 PASTORE LIU Vince 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
78 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
79 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 7% 1%
80 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 100% 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 4%
81 KO Zuriel 100% 98% 80% 42% 11% 1% -
82 GANASCIA-LIN Guillaume 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
83 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
84 LAUB William 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7%
85 WANG Jerry 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 5% -
86 VAID Luke 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
87 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
88 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
89 LIN Grant 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
90 KILARI Krish 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 5%
91 KANG Evan R. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 1%
92 ANAND Rohan 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
93 SRIVATS Vedh 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
94 VEDRE Neil 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
95 HOLZ Lucas 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 3%
96 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 32% 6%
96 WONG Lucas 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12% 1%
98 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
98 GONZALEZ Jake 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
98 LEE Brian 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% 1%
101 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
101 WEI Rian 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19% 2%
103 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 1%
104 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
105 KATZ Ryan 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
106 GONG Gavin 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
107 LUC Cedric 100% 99% 89% 58% 23% 4% -
108 SUN George 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 11%
109 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 100% 97% 79% 35% 5%
110 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 5%
111 YAN William 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 11%
112 LIU Victor 100% 94% 67% 26% 4% -
113 WANG Junyu 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
114 TAO Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 15%
115 LEE William Nigel 100% 91% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
116 KANG Evan 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
117 CHAN Henry 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
118 GREENSTEIN Viktor 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 6% 1%
119 SANGSTER Arden 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 7% 1%
120 CHEN Jonathan 100% 98% 74% 35% 9% 1%
121 LUHAN Zachary 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
121 TANI Tino 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 7% 1%
123 PEREIRA Beckham 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
124 BOLLU Viren 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
125 ZHOU William 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
126 BAI Evan 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
127 BROENING-CHAI Jonas 100% 97% 73% 30% 5% -
128 AYDOGDU Hakan 100% 100% 91% 61% 22% 4% -
129 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 24%
130 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 6%
131 REN James 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 16%
132 LEE Noah 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13%
133 CRICOL Damian 100% 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
134 TIAGI Daniel 100% 100% 95% 72% 28% 4%
135 LI Yiwei 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
136 IM Tyler 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
137 LEE Andrew 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
138 CAI Jeff 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 9% 1%
139 MCDONALD Finn 100% 99% 84% 45% 12% 1% -
140 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 22% 2%
141 LIU Ethan 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
142 DEPEW Spencer 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 19%
143 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 10%
144 SASSI Ilyas 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2% -
145 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 1%
146 OH Aster 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 3%
147 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
148 ZHENG LEON 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
149 WANG Justin 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
150 WONG David 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5% -
151 BURKE Sam 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
152 EKAMBARAM Nikhil 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
153 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
154 WAXLER Ryan 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
154 CHAMBERS Miles 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 2%
156 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
156 RAMANAN Govind 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 9%
158 NAMBIAR Navin 100% 90% 53% 17% 3% - -
158 LIU Leyi 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% -
160 LIU Aaron 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
161 TENG MATTHEW 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
162 HENDERSON Lucas 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16% 1%
163 FALCON-KORB Mathis 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
164 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
165 LINCOURT Arthur 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
166 ZHAO Royce 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
166 AO Christopher 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7% -
168 COBIAN Richard 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
169 KIM Kendrick 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
169 LIN Felix 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
169 CHEN Samuel 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 6%
172 SUBA Lucas 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7%
173 VO Landon 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
174 KOVACHEV Martin 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% 1% -
175 CHAN Elliott 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 2% -
176 HUNG Samuel 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
176 CHON Collin 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
176 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 9%
179 SADHU Neiyam 100% 100% 96% 75% 39% 10% 1%
180 CIEMINS Henry 100% 100% 93% 70% 33% 8% -
180 KOTVALI Aneesh 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% - -
180 WANG Max 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 6% -
183 COPP Max 100% 80% 36% 9% 1% - -
184 LUCAS William 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
185 WANG Tiger 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 1% -
186 KANIA Alexander 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
187 MATTOO Dhruv 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
188 HO Anson 100% 97% 67% 27% 6% 1% -
189 YANG Harvey 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
190 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 8%
191 FIROOZI Sam 100% 72% 24% 3% - -
192 RINALDI Savio 100% 96% 73% 28% 5% -
193 GONG Alex 100% 98% 84% 47% 12% 1%
194 DAI Zihou 100% 88% 45% 10% 1% -
195 SUN Andrew 100% 93% 61% 23% 4% -
196 PORTER Dupree 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
197 NGO Maximus 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 1%
198 LI Yidong A. 100% 97% 74% 34% 9% 1% -
199 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
200 JOUFFLINEAU Yohann 100% 95% 63% 24% 5% - -
201 BIAN Hongyu 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
202 FENG Brendan 100% 99% 84% 49% 17% 3% -
203 CHO RYAN 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
204 SAGE Sebastian 100% 100% 98% 66% 22% 3% -
204 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 100% 99% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
206 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20% 2%
207 CRAIN Bennett 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
207 SU Kingston 100% 98% 79% 44% 13% 2% -
209 CHEN Cooper 100% 95% 64% 25% 5% 1% -
209 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 3% -
211 BROWN Andrew 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
211 PARK Inwoo 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
213 WANG Edward 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
214 KIARA Kinoti 100% 93% 53% 15% 2% - -
214 LUC Linkin 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
216 KIM Enoch 100% 22% 2% - - - -
217 SUN Andy 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
218 BERKOWITZ Gavin 100% 85% 47% 16% 3% - -
219 CRAWFORD William 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
220 KOZLOFF Wyatt 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
221 RAJMOHAN Arya 100% 83% 32% 6% 1% - -
222 PANG Aidan 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
223 AUTREY Adrien 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
224 VALENCIA Jose 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
224 TOSCANO Sebastian 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
224 KAVZAN Toprak 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% - -
227 YADAV Lakshya 100% 98% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
227 SONG Aidan 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
227 BALU Aedan 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
230 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 9% 1%
230 AROUNA Ilan 100% 90% 55% 20% 4% - -
232 TARIGHI kasra 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3% -
233 LIU Marvin 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
234 CAUTHRON Oliver 100% 47% 9% 1% - -
235 QIN toby 100% 53% 13% 2% - -
236 LIU Yijin 100% 79% 37% 8% 1% -
237 ALAVE Kyle 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
237 WARD Carter 100% 47% 3% - - - -
239 LEE Brady 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
240 YOON Sungjun 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
241 TSAO Alister 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% - -
242 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 13% 1%
242 XUE Leo 100% 89% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
242 HWANG Hagan 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
245 UEMOTO Ken 100% 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
245 WANG HongXi 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
247 NGO Emerson 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
247 LIU Daniel 100% 67% 23% 4% - - -
249 GORDON Ezekiel 100% 27% 3% - - - -
250 SEELMAN Cole 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
251 LAZARTE Gabriel 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
252 HALL Noah 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
253 RADJABLI Maximillian 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
254 XIA Matthew 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
255 CHI Everett 100% 94% 61% 22% 4% - -
256 TANG Morgan 100% 90% 53% 18% 3% - -
256 LIU Guanyu 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
258 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
259 LEVIN Jacob 100% 79% 34% 7% 1% - -
260 ROSALES Vincent 100% 94% 65% 25% 4% - -
261 FANG Eason 100% 95% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
261 WELSTEAD Nicholas 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
261 PADANILAM Thomas 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
264 WONG Caleb W. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
265 LI Coby 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% - -
266 KEMP Austin 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
267 HERNANDEZ Stanton 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
267 TURNER Benjamin 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
269 LIU ERIC 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
270 KHOTLINE Daniel 100% 96% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
271 TSAO Oliver 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
272 LEE Brandon 100% 91% 54% 18% 3% - -
272 WANG Zixin 100% 98% 82% 50% 18% 4% -
274 WANG Theodore 100% 67% 23% 4% - - -
275 BOSITA Brennan 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% -
276 TIAGI George 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
277 REHM Liam 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
278 ONG Dylan 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1% -
278 YAO Zachary 100% 41% 6% - - - -
278 HU Harry Jiming 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
278 KULKARNI Shreyas 100% 32% 4% - - - -
282 HE Zhikai (kyle) 100% 66% 19% 2% - -
282 KAMURA Kosei 100% 21% 2% - - -
284 WOSTER Matthew (Mateo) 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
284 BEKDJANOV Arthur 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
284 VISH Manyu 100% 33% 5% - - - -
287 PARKILA Lukas 100% 93% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
287 VALENTINE Rhys 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
287 ROBINSON Ezra 100% 29% 4% - - - -
287 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
287 FOSTY Jasper 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
292 BRUSHABER Colin 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
292 HERRERA Stefano 100% 37% 6% - - - -
292 KURIYAMA Marcus 100% 32% 4% - - - -
295 JARAMILLO Juan 100% 59% 17% 3% - - -
296 XIA Daniel 100% 60% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.